Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1fde8cf9602e7173b02c774e770e6d1f383c4a6d78a4569dbdca4b5d990c5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Klim Sani4of Klim Sani4, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Klim Sani4 | 70c | 2,222$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.49 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Lynx | 21c | 1,406$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.24 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 31c | 826.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.27 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Team Lynx | 16c | 763.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked Team Lynx | 14c | 611.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Klim Sani4 | 58c | 520$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Team Lynx | 16c | 436.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Lynx | 23c | 419.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Klim Sani4 | 64c | 369.43$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed Team Lynx | 54c | 362.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Lynx | 15c | 339.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx | 5c | 319.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Team Lynx | 42c | 299.96$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…a00dbacked Team Lynx | 6c | 272.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Team Lynx | 20c | 250.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Klim Sani4 | 76c | 231.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Klim Sani4 | 69c | 184.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Klim Sani4 | 73c | 176.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Klim Sani4 | 57c | 174.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Klim Sani4 | 69c | 174.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Klim Sani4 | 70c | 173.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 140.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed Klim Sani4 | 58c | 135.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.01 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…33b4backed Team Lynx | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Team Lynx | 31c | 124.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…4d40backed Team Lynx | 19c | 102.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…d1fdbacked Klim Sani4 | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Team Lynx | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx | 42c | 99.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Team Lynx | 14c | 96.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx | 40c | 85.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Team Lynx | 43c | 83.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Klim Sani4 | 57c | 83.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Klim Sani4 | 58c | 79.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Team Lynx | 48c | 75.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 29c | 62.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Lynx | 21c | 60.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Klim Sani4 | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed Klim Sani4 | 58c | 57.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Team Lynx | 19c | 53.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Klim Sani4 | 59c | 50.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Klim Sani4 | 66c | 46.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Lynx | 35c | 40.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Team Lynx | 42c | 34.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…224dbacked Klim Sani4 | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Klim Sani4 | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…e5bdbacked Klim Sani4 | 58c | 30.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Team Lynx | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Klim Sani4 | 77c | 27.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…bc8ebacked Klim Sani4 | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…74b7backed Team Lynx | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Klim Sani4 | 58c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Team Lynx | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7222…0091backed Klim Sani4 | 79c | 18.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9bf1backed Klim Sani4 | 66c | 16.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Klim Sani4 | 76c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerKlim Sani4 won
- Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerKlim Sani4 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.