TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Klim Sani4of Klim Sani4, Team Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked Klim Sani475c7,388$5,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,841.2880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…ae1ebacked Team Lynx23c3,035$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc83…08f4backed Klim Sani460c3,025$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.65461.1%33 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Lynx28c2,256$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.2495342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1c…6383backed Team Lynx19c1,578$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Klim Sani472c1,503$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.1549455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Klim Sani477c1,261$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7361456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Lynx24c1,201$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.8710245.1%46 W · 56 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed Team Lynx47c1,161$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Lynx25c1,161$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4157449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Team Lynx29c1,097$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4147748.6%232 W · 245 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Klim Sani445c1,039$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.8842639.4%168 W · 258 L-39.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked Team Lynx34c975.32$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.194156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Lynx58c927.78$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…8c87backed Klim Sani451c881.51$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Team Lynx28c813.13$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1914343.4%62 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb4…74c5backed Team Lynx44c801.45$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Team Lynx26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf072…d897backed Team Lynx48c712.1$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2812246.7%57 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Lynx29c672$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8835737%132 W · 225 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0350…a584backed Team Lynx31c664.59$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Lynx46c662.02$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9154058.9%318 W · 222 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Team Lynx39c646.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3231…6e75backed Team Lynx26c567.24$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.157657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdff6…1963backed Team Lynx50c526.21$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked Klim Sani464c521.85$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8520859.6%124 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Klim Sani472c511.36$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.5911753%62 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Klim Sani463c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Klim Sani473c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356050%30 W · 30 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x58f4…7f23backed Team Lynx39c499.99$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x333d…e8b7backed Team Lynx24c482$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.681369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Klim Sani463c474.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.399145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Klim Sani468c445.72$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4819251%98 W · 94 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Lynx22c435.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8269132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaec3…babcbacked Klim Sani475c419.84$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.843246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb14…49b2backed Klim Sani472c416.67$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.786043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx36c416.6$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.061,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Team Lynx28c403.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.628145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Lynx37c399.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.991,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Klim Sani456c346.04$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8966947.1%315 W · 354 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Team Lynx69c342.56$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.47540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx33c329.4$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5940644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Klim Sani464c305.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8653844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Klim Sani451c286.31$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.298444%37 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0bf…d7febacked Klim Sani466c271.77$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.561553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cf…9ab4backed Klim Sani464c232.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.657263.9%46 W · 26 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx34c229.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0991356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed Klim Sani460c225$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9042660.1%256 W · 170 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Klim Sani474c220$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.219756.9%112 W · 85 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Team Lynx22c216.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7324138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Klim Sani462c213.97$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.331,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Team Lynx23c204.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Klim Sani467c203.35$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1161449.5%304 W · 310 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Team Lynx42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8443738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.491,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Lynx29c199.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8538142%160 W · 221 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Team Lynx14c173.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Klim Sani478c164.14$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1455561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b49…d827backed Team Lynx20c156$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…0c16backed Team Lynx24c145.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3319135.6%68 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72c8…a74cbacked Klim Sani433c143.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.524942.6%106 W · 143 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Team Lynx39c136.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.17735.1%27 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Lynx25c133.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8589238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x626a…3d36backed Team Lynx26c129$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.546965.2%45 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f93…a687backed Klim Sani473c120$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333369.7%23 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed Klim Sani463c115.16$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3812452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Team Lynx52c115.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3741632.7%136 W · 280 L-37.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked Klim Sani448c113.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9733854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Team Lynx28c100.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8610833.3%36 W · 72 L-13.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4697142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa844…7d5fbacked Team Lynx24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Klim Sani454c98.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.156448.4%31 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Klim Sani438c93.91$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4742053.6%225 W · 195 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Klim Sani472c93$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0450769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ace…3038backed Klim Sani465c92.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0323562.1%146 W · 89 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Team Lynx25c89.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.437745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941a…24d9backed Team Lynx22c87.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.223250%16 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a5…cf41backed Team Lynx74c80$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.21225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed Team Lynx30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421447.2%101 W · 113 L+16.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22bc…0c84backed Team Lynx26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Team Lynx26c73.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1638759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed Klim Sani475c72.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.081154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Team Lynx28c70.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021344.1%94 W · 119 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Klim Sani458c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.439351.1%201 W · 192 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked Klim Sani444c68.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6228846.9%135 W · 153 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Team Lynx65c66.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2813547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e9…2a7fbacked Team Lynx33c63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.79714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-79.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f04…1fb0backed Klim Sani467c58.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4710458.7%61 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec6…db1ebacked Team Lynx28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510557.1%60 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Klim Sani475c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7326848.9%131 W · 137 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d4…a3d5backed Klim Sani460c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2022954.6%125 W · 104 L-0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Klim Sani474c48.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8747358.6%277 W · 196 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Klim Sani468c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4281345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Lynx33c40.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3891553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Klim Sani477c38.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.871770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa4a…e960backed Team Lynx26c38.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…a07fbacked Klim Sani479c38.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.092171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa62b…58aabacked Klim Sani478c36.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0711154.1%60 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Klim Sani478c36.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0730255.3%167 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe010…5147backed Team Lynx32c33.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66437%3 W · 40 L-16.0wins-0.37per pick44cpaid-88.8%equal weight24-0.24 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.