Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73c7a324d88c5040647fc72c66c3092aa9d0efd7479d23433781d13bb736456
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,433,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,644,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,433,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 686 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Yandex | 43c | 849,594$367,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367,110.17 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Team Spirit | 55c | 459,552$253,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206,002.99 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Spirit | 64c | 368,443$234,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,355.97 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex | 36c | 97,559$35,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,579.57 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 56c | 60,892$34,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,598.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Team Spirit | 57c | 48,976$27,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,059.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex | 18c | 41,430$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560.19 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Yandex | 27c | 35,454$9,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,744.87 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Spirit | 64c | 35,396$22,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,819.37 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Team Yandex | 55c | 34,827$19,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,304.86 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Spirit | 54c | 30,000$16,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,940.22 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 35c | 27,347$9,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,571.5 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 26,691$9,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,705.87 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 26,501$11,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,067.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Yandex | 22c | 25,202$5,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,466.13 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Spirit | 59c | 24,500$14,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,045 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 23,847$9,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,661.14 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…6781backed Team Spirit | 73c | 22,767$16,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 19,053$7,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,226.96 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Team Spirit | 58c | 18,000$10,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.93 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Yandex | 38c | 17,905$6,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803.95 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 77c | 15,164$11,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.51 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 14,000$8,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,935 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 14,000$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 13,551$7,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,097.92 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Yandex | 37c | 12,901$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 60c | 12,780$7,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 12,738$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.84 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 12,039$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.73 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 76c | 12,000$9,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Yandex | 40c | 11,510$4,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,634.44 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Yandex | 7c | 11,500$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 11,111$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 56c | 10,592$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.38 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex | 35c | 10,316$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.76 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed Team Spirit | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 9,999$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.59 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Yandex | 42c | 9,590$3,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.97 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Spirit | 56c | 9,500$5,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.98 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 9,071$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.21 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Yandex | 37c | 9,018$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.64 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Spirit | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Yandex | 41c | 8,026$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.64 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Team Yandex | 4c | 7,874$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.83 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Yandex | 31c | 7,817$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.43 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 7,500$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.74 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Yandex | 44c | 7,311$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.12 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 7,026$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Team Yandex | 42c | 6,916$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.23 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Yandex | 39c | 6,343$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.6 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…28adbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 6,200$3,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…186cbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 5,902$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.7 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Yandex | 2c | 5,761$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Spirit | 74c | 5,623$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.14 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Team Spirit | 57c | 5,576$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.43 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex | 37c | 5,538$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.76 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Yandex | 45c | 5,486$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.82 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Yandex | 33c | 5,075$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.5 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Spirit | 54c | 5,070$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.71 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Spirit | 56c | 5,013$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.72 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 60c | 5,000$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.5 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 5,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 5,000$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.93 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Yandex | 50c | 4,989$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…97dbbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 4,525$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 4,473$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.89 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Yandex | 48c | 4,467$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.4 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…a3d0backed Team Spirit | 45c | 4,461$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed Team Yandex | 9c | 4,200$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.8 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Team Spirit | 75c | 4,130$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.09 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…f89dbacked Team Yandex | 7c | 4,087$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 4,066$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.19 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Team Spirit | 66c | 4,063$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.94 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Yandex | 41c | 4,061$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.8 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Spirit | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…5905backed Team Spirit | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Yandex | 22c | 4,000$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.42 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Team Yandex | 38c | 3,887$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.02 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 3,750$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Spirit | 58c | 3,669$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.7 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Team Spirit | 58c | 3,600$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 3,551$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.34 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 3,472$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.06 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 3,398$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.19 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Spirit | 68c | 3,333$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.12 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Yandex | 51c | 3,300$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.6 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Spirit | 56c | 3,225$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.41 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Team Spirit | 63c | 3,212$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Yandex | 19c | 3,212$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.22 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Spirit | 76c | 3,184$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.84 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex | 42c | 3,184$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.87 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 3,154$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 3,146$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.75 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Yandex won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.