CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a391e981af1f4d5f0897a5ad85e5d24d6cc8759b0b53315f0e49b6518a2cdd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof NIP, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $504,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked NIP | 55c | 60,535$33,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,401.17 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed paiN | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,499.95 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed paiN | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,499.84 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked NIP | 61c | 27,695$16,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,881.29 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed NIP | 61c | 26,196$15,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,979.38 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NIP | 37c | 18,407$6,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,888.53 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 61c | 16,393$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked paiN | 39c | 12,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,320 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed paiN | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed NIP | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.98 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked NIP | 32c | 9,471$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked paiN | 41c | 8,832$3,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.77 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed paiN | 58c | 7,100$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.99 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked NIP | 61c | 6,039$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed paiN | 69c | 6,030$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.89 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed paiN | 39c | 5,800$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed paiN | 51c | 5,063$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.84 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed NIP | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed paiN | 40c | 4,718$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.5 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked NIP | 35c | 4,363$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed paiN | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 41c | 3,894$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.63 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed NIP | 59c | 3,860$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.99 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…952dbacked NIP | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked paiN | 67c | 3,231$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.79 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed NIP | 49c | 3,230$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.7 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked NIP | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed paiN | 71c | 3,000$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.22 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked paiN | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed paiN | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.86 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed paiN | 68c | 2,657$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.96 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed NIP | 31c | 2,529$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed paiN | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked paiN | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed NIP | 43c | 2,343$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked paiN | 39c | 2,289$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.29 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked paiN | 71c | 2,068$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.75 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NIP | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.93 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NIP | 20c | 1,864$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.53 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed NIP | 61c | 1,834$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.93 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…6afbbacked NIP | 31c | 1,800$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.23 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…39b5backed paiN | 62c | 1,759$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.56 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed paiN | 38c | 1,718$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.07 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed NIP | 60c | 1,672$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked paiN | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NIP | 59c | 1,510$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked paiN | 40c | 1,500$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked paiN | 64c | 1,473$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.38 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked paiN | 69c | 1,428$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed paiN | 69c | 1,392$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN | 63c | 1,368$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.59 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP | 61c | 1,335$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.1 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed NIP | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed NIP | 31c | 1,094$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.18 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed paiN | 43c | 1,081$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.16 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN | 70c | 1,047$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.16 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked NIP | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed paiN | 55c | 1,019$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.65 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed paiN | 70c | 1,013$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.9 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked paiN | 68c | 1,004$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked NIP | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked paiN | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed NIP | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked NIP | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed NIP | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked paiN | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked NIP | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked NIP | 29c | 999.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…2ccbbacked NIP | 59c | 994.54$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed NIP | 59c | 962.77$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.03 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed NIP | 40c | 942.75$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP | 31c | 935.56$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.02 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NIP | 31c | 925.39$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked paiN | 49c | 920.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cb…2badbacked paiN | 40c | 887.19$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 64c | 872.8$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP | 30c | 870.18$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN | 69c | 868.63$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.63 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked paiN | 79c | 865.82$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.82 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked paiN | 39c | 836.91$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.29 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP | 60c | 833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…76e4backed NIP | 33c | 799.98$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked NIP | 39c | 790.77$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed paiN | 64c | 779.74$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked NIP | 57c | 771.93$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 30c | 762.66$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN | 67c | 750.65$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.44 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed paiN | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP | 59c | 749.98$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.49 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…ab72backed paiN | 70c | 728.57$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 25c | 700.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed NIP | 54c | 688.54$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.41 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…ecd4backed NIP | 44c | 682.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed NIP | 23c | 665.91$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked NIP | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed NIP | 62c | 643.74$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.29 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 22c | 632$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed paiN | 56c | 616.07$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.07 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5)paiN won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.