Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x354c31f84642908251fb037235fa083a119e7391d81ec484a9da400a5e8d6b9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 2c | 110,481$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,675 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Over | 46c | 30,256$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,256.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 9,907$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.71 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 8,514$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.14 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 7,702$3,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.81 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 4,475$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.25 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 53c | 2,619$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 2,590$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.7 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 2,083$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.27 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 2,083$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.27 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 2,083$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.28 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 1,978$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.65 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60d…af6bbacked Over | 61c | 155.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 61c | 143$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 112.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 47c | 107.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 81.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…4118backed Over | 45c | 77.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 79c | 64.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 53c | 47.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Under | 57c | 45.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f3…cf28backed Over | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 27c | 42.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 27c | 42.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…d1a9backed Over | 46c | 34.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 42c | 27.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.