TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$392,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,553 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe154…0b7fbacked Under8c186,769$14,106 inLost-$14,106.18156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd3…8289backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon+$694.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c1,599$736 inLost-$736.2145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon+$428.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under31c1,383$423 inLost-$422.929046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over62c870.17$540 inWon+$330.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c862.86$313 inWon+$550.113250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over60c584.97$351 inWon+$233.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over37c538.92$201 inWon+$337.752356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over59c508.47$300 inWon+$208.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over61c414.44$255 inWon+$159.647953.2%42 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e49…5166backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon+$133.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over51c324.65$165 inWon+$159.782948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c255.98$77 inLost-$76.791931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Over52c222.35$115 inWon+$107.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f3…a1a4backed Over50c160$80 inWon+$80250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under31c151.84$47 inLost-$46.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2440…042dbacked Over70c118.57$83 inWon+$35.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x304f…af95backed Over70c104.29$73 inWon+$31.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon+$44.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over60c81.9$49 inWon+$32.76785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon+$21.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Under31c71.42$22 inLost-$21.8940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over68c71.41$49 inWon+$22.854934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Over50c50$25 inWon+$252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over26c45.99$12 inWon+$33.8216224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over50c44.99$22 inWon+$22.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d39…ba51backed Over76c39.47$30 inWon+$9.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over60c36.45$22 inWon+$14.5815071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under59c25.52$15 inLost-$14.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c24.07$11 inLost-$11.3118351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under54c20$11 inLost-$10.82556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over70c19.03$13 inWon+$5.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+92.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4abb…d858backed Over59c19$11 inWon+$7.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under60c17.94$11 inLost-$10.795860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over71c15.49$11 inWon+$4.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.