TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,291

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe154…0b7fbacked Over34c18,465$6,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,175.83156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c11,594$6,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,664.1829637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c9,815$6,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,072.841,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c8,515$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,855.7524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked Over43c7,500$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over55c6,022$3,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.9822745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Under57c4,694$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over44c4,091$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c2,366$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.431,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under56c2,007$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.9227748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under56c2,007$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.9227049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Under57c1,648$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over42c1,333$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.1315649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under56c1,284$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+138.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over43c1,134$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.382751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over45c1,034$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+669.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over44c887.2$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.733946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over44c850.82$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.5430448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c684.38$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.4510640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under3c660.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under56c625.48$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.2733148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c607.59$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.6320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5cb…6303backed Under60c502.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over49c457.14$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under52c444$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.882334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over60c433.7$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2413250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c374.79$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over51c368.71$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.51633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c359.98$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.894151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf397…f3c8backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over45c327.46$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c325$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15224051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over59c319.64$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over48c308.52$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under6c299.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over49c284.75$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.039046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c282.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1418351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Under39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.97648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under52c235$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f11…15b5backed Over45c219.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked Over43c195.23$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under65c193.96$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under37c191.73$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9412448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under57c185.81$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under67c184.7$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Over29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over59c168.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45bb…4927backed Over60c163.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under56c160$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Over54c149.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c127.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over44c113.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.631136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c109.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.499262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under57c107.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f5…698cbacked Under55c101.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over45c97.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.76755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over43c88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.164351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over62c87.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.242544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Under57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under46c84.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dba…cb27backed Over58c83.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under63c83.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.642556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over44c79.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.944934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under66c79.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.835860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under46c76.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x753d…2ce0backed Under25c74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.624052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c86…a7a3backed Under46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over59c64.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over45c62.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.223444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over45c62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9416224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over44c61.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.551258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over44c60.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.736360.3%38 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x74bf…f43dbacked Over65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over46c54.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.743548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1160…f722backed Under37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…760ebacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.53432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27100%0 W · 10 L-5.4wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7249…f5dabacked Under57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Over70c47.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.751968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over46c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under56c39.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.12937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over70c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.152744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.