Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba02a6aa1a080d989e7764ff065502ec239eba7524c5c5a99afc9d2bd91dc76b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Over | 12c | 9,344$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.87 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 75c | 7,228$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 5,145$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.61 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 25c | 2,040$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.04 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 25c | 1,392$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 23c | 1,333$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.59 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 31c | 1,213$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 1,046$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.86 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 25c | 952.2$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.05 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 906.15$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 61c | 634.34$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 39c | 427.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 32c | 416.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.24 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 72c | 348.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 315.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 294.42$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 34c | 271.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 260.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 205.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 31c | 164.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…a860backed Under | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 29c | 131$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 62c | 127.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 33c | 127$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 73c | 122.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…f5dabacked Under | 71c | 96.54$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 26c | 91.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 66c | 90.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 68cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 25c | 74.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…549cbacked Under | 76c | 71.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…244dbacked Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 29c | 67.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 73c | 53.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 48.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 42c | 46.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 78c | 39.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 79c | 35.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Over | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…f722backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 67c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dce…dcc3backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 73c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.