Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dcb5a50628dd9c55d40dc3e96d20736a6ee395eafb5121a3dd7a5e396c436f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 67c | 4,233$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Under | 2c | 4,052$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 33c | 4,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 33c | 2,841$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.02 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 26c | 2,499$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.74 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 11c | 2,306$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 66c | 1,864$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.71 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 18c | 1,800$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 34c | 1,757$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 18c | 1,675$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…f5dabacked Under | 33c | 994.15$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 19c | 876.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…d292backed Over | 66c | 800.05$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 80c | 377.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 66c | 336.36$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 28c | 324.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 21c | 298.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…e3c2backed Under | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 66c | 203.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 71c | 195.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…481bbacked Over | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 18c | 167.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over | 66c | 151.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 66c | 129.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 126.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Over | 67c | 121.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 107.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Over | 65c | 106.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…aa2bbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 94.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 30c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Under | 35c | 88.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 66c | 88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 34c | 87.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 34c | 71.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 34c | 65.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 59.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 69c | 57.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 66c | 25.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 79c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34ce…bef9backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Over | 69c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 70c | 21.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 5.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 0.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)Stade Rennais FC 1901 won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.