TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Stade Rennais FC 1901of Paris Saint-Germain FC, Stade Rennais FC 1901
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,695 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Paris Saint-Germain FC18c6,994$1,259 inLost-$1,258.851,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC4c5,325$191 inLost-$190.68156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Stade Rennais FC 190177c3,000$2,310 inWon+$6902356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC21c2,677$553 inLost-$552.579046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Paris Saint-Germain FC23c1,087$250 inLost-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Paris Saint-Germain FC18c804$145 inLost-$144.724050%20 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+110.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC15c768$113 inLost-$112.641931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paris Saint-Germain FC21c654.01$139 inLost-$139.418351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Stade Rennais FC 190179c506.33$400 inWon+$106.332536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC23c400$92 inLost-$9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Stade Rennais FC 190179c371$293 inWon+$77.915100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Stade Rennais FC 190179c371$293 inWon+$77.91475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC6c300$18 inLost-$1840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Stade Rennais FC 190179c295$233 inWon+$61.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Stade Rennais FC 190177c205.02$158 inWon+$47.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Paris Saint-Germain FC21c201.91$42 inLost-$41.8145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Stade Rennais FC 190178c201$157 inWon+$44.222751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Stade Rennais FC 190179c126.58$100 inWon+$26.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC23c122.33$28 inLost-$28.1430448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC23c114.4$26 inLost-$26.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Stade Rennais FC 190178c102.32$80 inWon+$22.515860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Paris Saint-Germain FC22c100$22 inLost-$223464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Stade Rennais FC 190177c100$77 inWon+$231540%6 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+869.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC23c100$23 inLost-$2320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Stade Rennais FC 190177c100$77 inWon+$232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Stade Rennais FC 190177c100$77 inWon+$231573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Stade Rennais FC 190178c89.47$70 inWon+$19.681154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Stade Rennais FC 190179c83$66 inWon+$17.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Stade Rennais FC 190177c78.45$60 inWon+$18.264151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stade Rennais FC 190178c77.7$60 inWon+$17.4513250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC16c63.08$10 inLost-$10.333548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Stade Rennais FC 190177c59$45 inWon+$13.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Paris Saint-Germain FC22c55.87$12 inLost-$12.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Paris Saint-Germain FC23c55$13 inLost-$12.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC24c51.05$12 inLost-$12.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49f4…a7c9backed Stade Rennais FC 190177c50$39 inWon+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Stade Rennais FC 190177c27.7$21 inWon+$6.37850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Stade Rennais FC 190177c25.57$20 inWon+$5.881758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Stade Rennais FC 190175c24.72$19 inWon+$6.184742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Stade Rennais FC 190179c21.77$17 inWon+$4.67366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Stade Rennais FC 190177c18.48$14 inWon+$4.161030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-53.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.