TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stade Rennais FC 1901of Paris Saint-Germain FC, Stade Rennais FC 1901
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Stade Rennais FC 190157c91,887$52,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,511.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c45,409$19,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,525.8624349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3170…c6a0backed Paris Saint-Germain FC42c20,238$8,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,547.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC5c15,262$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.39156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-80.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c13,881$5,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,968.7629637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c11,047$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC43c9,552$4,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,103.82751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stade Rennais FC 190165c8,267$5,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.041,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC21c6,224$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.9722745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…2fc6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC43c3,452$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c2,612$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.124742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c2,508$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9818351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c2,336$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.653946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c2,134$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.2330448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC43c1,535$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Stade Rennais FC 190168c1,443$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.9445233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Stade Rennais FC 190162c1,302$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.879046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c1,206$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Paris Saint-Germain FC42c1,192$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stade Rennais FC 190157c1,049$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Stade Rennais FC 190159c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Stade Rennais FC 190157c999.98$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.991225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f90…7f51backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c921$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Stade Rennais FC 190159c847$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c599.71$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9133148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Paris Saint-Germain FC42c595.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd2…54a3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c555.63$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c544.19$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stade Rennais FC 190180c481.35$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.281,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC20c480$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fae…b849backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC20c461.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5613250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764a…9175backed Paris Saint-Germain FC27c450.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c333.63$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Stade Rennais FC 190157c328$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.0427049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c261.94$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.011258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC45c224.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC43c205.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Paris Saint-Germain FC26c204.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC37c185.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.822744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Stade Rennais FC 190158c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4114340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Stade Rennais FC 190158c169.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.44151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Stade Rennais FC 190165c155.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.865860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Stade Rennais FC 190157c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.24425%11 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c129.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.394934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13e1…f5e9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c117$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c103.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.822937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421540%6 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+869.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Stade Rennais FC 190158c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c99.83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.181844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC45c93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.852544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Stade Rennais FC 190161c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c78.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Stade Rennais FC 190159c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c68.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Paris Saint-Germain FC41c61.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.151952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe577…6d01backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC41c54.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.34520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c20…2256backed Stade Rennais FC 190160c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dce…dcc3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc81…3f87backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c48.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Stade Rennais FC 190161c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.882556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1e…2604backed Paris Saint-Germain FC42c47.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14b…0281backed Stade Rennais FC 190161c47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa13…9095backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Stade Rennais FC 190158c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Stade Rennais FC 190166c41.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc28b…3683backed Paris Saint-Germain FC42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Stade Rennais FC 190173c30.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.083548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2613…12bdbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Paris Saint-Germain FC43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e99…5329backed Stade Rennais FC 190152c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Stade Rennais FC 190157c26.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Stade Rennais FC 190159c26.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.951030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-53.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe201…b90bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC43c26.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83d…d507backed Paris Saint-Germain FC40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Stade Rennais FC 190174c24.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Stade Rennais FC 190159c20.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bd…30a1backed Stade Rennais FC 190153c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b05…17f1backed Stade Rennais FC 190175c15.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.