TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13e1…f5e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.99
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$46.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.94
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.6
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.85
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.55
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.25
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)backed BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$20.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$14.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.