Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x228d43b2698d1710950ea6e38963b5736e3f1fb7e21f438bc7a81884c7dec8c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 49c | 44,801$21,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,832.21 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 15,683$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,105.36 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 14,022$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.07 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 9,600$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 23c | 7,079$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.18 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 6,000$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.59 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked OG | 3c | 5,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed OG | 24c | 5,119$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.53 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 4,800$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…48bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 4,800$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 4,761$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.59 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed OG | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 3,363$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.25 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed OG | 23c | 3,309$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.21 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed OG | 28c | 2,840$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 43c | 2,830$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.65 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 2,429$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.65 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,205$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.79 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed OG | 28c | 2,194$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.42 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,982$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.75 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,971$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.23 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,668$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.42 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,308$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.29 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,265$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.59 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed OG | 32c | 1,200$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 32c | 995.53$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 944.13$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.8 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 887.15$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.45 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 814.3$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.34 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 717.19$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.47 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked OG | 42c | 715.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed OG | 26c | 696$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…bf31backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 634.7$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed OG | 24c | 618$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed OG | 52c | 534.76$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 520.43$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.72 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8b…a00dbacked OG | 6c | 517.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 511.56$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 405.01$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed OG | 18c | 401.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…326cbacked OG | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked OG | 21c | 399.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked OG | 36c | 397.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 352.74$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 331.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799b…cc17backed OG | 25c | 330.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…1490backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 316.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed OG | 26c | 303.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OG | 17c | 302.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed OG | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…d938backed OG | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 24c | 289$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked OG | 39c | 280.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed OG | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 271.03$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed OG | 45c | 257.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed OG | 36c | 252.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed OG | 15c | 238.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed OG | 52c | 228.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked OG | 28c | 217.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked OG | 37c | 215$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 209$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 205.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…3096backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 205.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 202.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked OG | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…4537backed OG | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…5f05backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 199.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 197$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 180.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked OG | 30c | 165$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked OG | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…f6a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 149.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 145.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked OG | 46c | 140.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…eb0fbacked OG | 49c | 138.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +17.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 28c | 138.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed OG | 54c | 122.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed OG | 50c | 120.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked OG | 35c | 108.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed OG | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…fa26backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked OG | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed OG | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139a…c624backed OG | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked OG | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 99.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed OG | 51c | 97.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…f5e9backed OG | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed OG | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed OG | 54c | 92.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.38per pick | 59cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed OG | 56c | 92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked OG | 43c | 88.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.