Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb36751c79fb7b37e4aa42514b336b042e89e99ea2e9823e26cb11ce82f277dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $713,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $871,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 49c | 91,453$44,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,618.62 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…8e6ebacked OG | 30c | 29,545$8,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,762.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 23,521$16,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,034.32 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 17,187$9,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.9 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked OG | 52c | 15,810$8,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,282.87 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 14,642$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.05 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 14,609$7,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,145.49 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 14,146$7,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,802.94 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 14,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,160 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 11,700$6,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,281.77 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed OG | 45c | 11,115$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.19 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.97 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 9,583$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.46 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 9,090$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.2 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 8,822$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.52 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…629cbacked OG | 55c | 8,750$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 45c | 8,394$3,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.07 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 49c | 7,572$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.36 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 58c | 7,358$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.59 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 7,350$3,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed OG | 50c | 7,236$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 7,119$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.68 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked OG | 55c | 6,514$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.83 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 6,407$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.64 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked OG | 56c | 5,884$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.62 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 5,596$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.81 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 47c | 5,000$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.58 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,650 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 4,989$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked OG | 53c | 4,831$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580.23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 4,129$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.09 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked OG | 67c | 3,613$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.85 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked OG | 74c | 3,602$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.5 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 3,426$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.03 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed OG | 45c | 3,200$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.83 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked OG | 58c | 3,099$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.7 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,977$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.28 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 2,802$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.57 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed OG | 55c | 2,754$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed OG | 75c | 2,616$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.31 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked OG | 59c | 2,560$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed OG | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed OG | 51c | 2,472$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.87 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked OG | 49c | 2,405$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.73 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,364$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.54 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed OG | 61c | 2,320$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.37 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked OG | 40c | 2,304$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.38 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,246$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.91 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed OG | 62c | 2,200$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.52 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…5f05backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 2,156$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed OG | 45c | 2,110$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed OG | 66c | 2,085$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.87 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed OG | 14c | 2,000$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.16 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 49c | 1,975$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.82 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed OG | 53c | 1,870$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked OG | 55c | 1,782$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked OG | 58c | 1,750$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.03 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,611$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.81 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…053bbacked OG | 78c | 1,600$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,594$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.94 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,562$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.86 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 49c | 1,541$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.76 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 47c | 1,476$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.51 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,423$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.77 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked OG | 64c | 1,422$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.77 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked OG | 44c | 1,359$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed OG | 45c | 1,357$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.22 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 1,332$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.86 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 70c | 1,307$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,300$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked OG | 69c | 1,298$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,252$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.2 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked OG | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked OG | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked OG | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked OG | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed OG | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,189$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.53 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,162$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.98 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,154$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.44 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,115$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.87 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,100$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.99 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed OG | 54c | 1,084$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.94 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked OG | 19c | 1,075$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed OG | 21c | 1,071$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,063$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.35 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,042$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed OG | 39c | 1,029$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…824cbacked OG | 48c | 1,013$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.42 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 996.61$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.61 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed OG | 27c | 995.33$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group StageNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.