Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb1ca97d5972f58605da403a7bb48fb37c973fdd848a95cd892e3131756e5e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $501,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed OG | 45c | 86,974$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked OG | 35c | 20,745$7,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224.77 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 17,658$10,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,805.87 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 11,443$5,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,962.93 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 11,263$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,463.05 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 10,235$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100.82 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked OG | 50c | 10,022$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.64 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 10,000$5,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.7 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed OG | 26c | 9,048$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.02 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked OG | 45c | 8,312$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.03 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 6,147$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.83 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 6,000$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.24 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 5,958$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.81 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 5,515$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked OG | 44c | 5,376$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.51 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed OG | 24c | 5,037$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.65 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 4,858$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.36 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 4,583$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.78 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 4,210$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.02 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed OG | 38c | 3,744$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.07 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 57c | 3,677$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.87 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked OG | 44c | 3,270$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.78 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 3,101$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.23 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 2,636$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.78 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed OG | 26c | 2,500$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed OG | 66c | 2,279$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,089$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.6 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked OG | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 51c | 1,732$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.88 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed OG | 49c | 1,721$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.62 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked OG | 43c | 1,629$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.75 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 1,600$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 1,600$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed OG | 48c | 1,550$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.97 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 1,527$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.35 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked OG | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed OG | 32c | 1,500$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.32 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked OG | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,462$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.55 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed OG | 49c | 1,446$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 1,439$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.44 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,362$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.6 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,304$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.88 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 1c | 1,299$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,266$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.39 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,264$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.8 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cf…4319backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,245$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked OG | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…895cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,173$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,110$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…7e4dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed OG | 45c | 1,082$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 1,014$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.46 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 42c | 1,003$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed OG | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed OG | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked OG | 33c | 937.65$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 936.39$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.19 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 922$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed OG | 35c | 917.06$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.26 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 899.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935c…59f8backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 860.79$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…f884backed OG | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 792.26$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked OG | 46c | 760.57$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 750$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed OG | 24c | 749.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed OG | 61c | 747.78$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.15 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed OG | 31c | 735.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…4c3cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 707.2$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed OG | 34c | 703.03$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.59 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked OG | 45c | 668.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked OG | 62c | 648.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 50c | 645.41$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 635.56$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 625.45$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 615.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.07 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…95fabacked OG | 62c | 612.9$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked OG | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 599.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 599.49$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.53 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 588.23$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed OG | 62c | 581.62$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.33 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 561.82$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8045…9116backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 555$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked OG | 29c | 551.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed OG | 9c | 536.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group StageNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.