TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f52…895c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.94
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$144.12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.82
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.98
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.57
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.36
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.84
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+149%+$41.97
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$34.58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$57.17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.05
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$25.57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.67
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$21.22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$17.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$166.99
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.29
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.06
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.75
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$140.63
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.91
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.62
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.76
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.94
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+110.6%+$23.1
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$30.93
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.81
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+226.4%+$103.95
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.37
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43.12
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$91.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.65
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$63.68
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.16
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$48.06
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.17
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$600.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$104.31
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)backed Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)backed Vasteraas SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked FOKUS Sakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.