Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a4ad77e2f453b6fc64fef36edee018100d21f95ecb8856c2a9984ca97f9afb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $501,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $648,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 66,356$41,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,235.69 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked HULIGANI | 35c | 26,402$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked HULIGANI | 15c | 18,100$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 15,670$10,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.81 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked HULIGANI | 12c | 14,378$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.42 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked HULIGANI | 28c | 13,751$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.17 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 12,925$7,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,362.27 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked HULIGANI | 42c | 12,096$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.06 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked HULIGANI | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 10,000$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.88 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked HULIGANI | 33c | 9,252$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.25 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 8,622$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.86 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked HULIGANI | 31c | 7,300$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 6,270$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.1 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked HULIGANI | 33c | 6,261$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.18 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed HULIGANI | 33c | 6,240$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked HULIGANI | 34c | 5,331$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.4 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 4,962$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.33 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 4,840$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.6 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked HULIGANI | 49c | 4,261$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.35 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 4,000$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.39 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 4,000$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.26 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.98 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 3,948$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.58 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 3,929$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.09 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 3,909$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.22 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed HULIGANI | 42c | 3,855$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.15 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed HULIGANI | 39c | 3,693$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.88 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed HULIGANI | 50c | 3,673$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.79 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed HULIGANI | 40c | 3,632$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 3,519$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.75 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 3,391$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.95 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed HULIGANI | 41c | 3,312$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.8 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed HULIGANI | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 2,817$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.57 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed HULIGANI | 34c | 2,628$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.14 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HULIGANI | 40c | 2,593$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.79 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 2,300$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 2,209$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.07 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 2,163$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.08 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed HULIGANI | 32c | 2,089$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.89 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed HULIGANI | 35c | 2,029$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.16 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked HULIGANI | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed HULIGANI | 40c | 1,959$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.6 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,949$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.05 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HULIGANI | 27c | 1,934$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.04 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,915$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.57 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked HULIGANI | 33c | 1,899$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.7 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed HULIGANI | 43c | 1,896$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.64 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 1,887$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.11 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 1,831$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.91 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed HULIGANI | 46c | 1,747$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 1,744$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.77 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed HULIGANI | 14c | 1,671$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,565$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.64 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.73 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 1,556$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.04 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HULIGANI | 34c | 1,500$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.8 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,443$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 1,439$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.42 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed HULIGANI | 22c | 1,378$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed HULIGANI | 33c | 1,327$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked HULIGANI | 40c | 1,326$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.49 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed HULIGANI | 55c | 1,321$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.71 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed HULIGANI | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,259$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.62 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed HULIGANI | 24c | 1,211$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.33 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,200$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 1,195$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.39 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,192$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.56 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed HULIGANI | 46c | 1,113$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.4 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked HULIGANI | 32c | 1,036$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.52 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 1,015$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.23 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked HULIGANI | 41c | 1,012$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.39 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,000$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed HULIGANI | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed HULIGANI | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked HULIGANI | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 964.3$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.08 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed HULIGANI | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 922$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed HULIGANI | 32c | 909.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 895.49$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b4…4e24backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 888$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.44 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed HULIGANI | 34c | 882.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed HULIGANI | 25c | 878.93$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 322 | 41.6%134 W · 188 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked HULIGANI | 35c | 859.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HULIGANI | 35c | 807.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed HULIGANI | 33c | 799.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked HULIGANI | 55c | 777$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.35 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HULIGANI | 41c | 714.18$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked HULIGANI | 28c | 711.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked HULIGANI | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 376 | 54.8%206 W · 170 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…6ba4backed HULIGANI | 43c | 699.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed HULIGANI | 30c | 672.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed HULIGANI | 5c | 664.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 663.59$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group StageXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.