Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb349b8d5cf0ee06de897a9f40d86767c710873f6545d18452f184dd5f4dd74f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, HULIGANI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked HULIGANI | 3c | 6,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 4,957$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.36 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b6…6089backed HULIGANI | 31c | 4,953$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…b26bbacked HULIGANI | 10c | 4,506$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.57 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 3,323$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.04 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 2,929$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.31 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked HULIGANI | 36c | 2,800$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.22 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked HULIGANI | 32c | 2,069$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.94 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…dbebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 1,600$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed HULIGANI | 11c | 1,529$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed HULIGANI | 32c | 1,237$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.91 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked HULIGANI | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,002$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.76 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked HULIGANI | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked HULIGANI | 32c | 999.94$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.98 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 929.08$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.84 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 823.4$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 809.97$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.09 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed HULIGANI | 32c | 743.14$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.43 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 705.38$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.78 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 697.67$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 693.95$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.94 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked HULIGANI | 4c | 686.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HULIGANI | 28c | 613.56$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…cf93backed HULIGANI | 33c | 597.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 553.82$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.22 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked HULIGANI | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed HULIGANI | 29c | 491.01$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.66 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -13.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 456.62$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.52 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 331 | 65.3%216 W · 115 L | +23.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 435.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed HULIGANI | 18c | 360.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed HULIGANI | 36c | 358.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed HULIGANI | 35c | 344.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 335$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed HULIGANI | 30c | 334.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…a798backed HULIGANI | 34c | 318.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 310.58$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked HULIGANI | 32c | 309.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed HULIGANI | 33c | 305.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked HULIGANI | 33c | 305.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed HULIGANI | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed HULIGANI | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked HULIGANI | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…68f4backed HULIGANI | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f4…9d7abacked HULIGANI | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 299.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 297.42$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 270.54$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed HULIGANI | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed HULIGANI | 10c | 250.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…7aa8backed HULIGANI | 32c | 234.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 224.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 223.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…0075backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 222.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed HULIGANI | 32c | 218.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…42babacked HULIGANI | 12c | 215.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked HULIGANI | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…8e9dbacked HULIGANI | 29c | 194.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…36bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 178.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed HULIGANI | 35c | 175.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 173.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked HULIGANI | 11c | 170$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked HULIGANI | 33c | 169.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 154.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 154$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed HULIGANI | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked HULIGANI | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 157 | 61.1%96 W · 61 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…bbe6backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed HULIGANI | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked HULIGANI | 31c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed HULIGANI | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HULIGANI | 28c | 134.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebe…ecb1backed HULIGANI | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…9f69backed HULIGANI | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 114.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 112.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed HULIGANI | 20c | 110.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 435 | 60.5%263 W · 172 L | +43.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 109.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 654 | 47.4%310 W · 344 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 107$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed HULIGANI | 14c | 102.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…9234backed HULIGANI | 24c | 102.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…41c9backed HULIGANI | 22c | 100.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…92e8backed HULIGANI | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…3b65backed HULIGANI | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked HULIGANI | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HULIGANI | 11c | 90.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed HULIGANI | 28c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 87.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked HULIGANI | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 81.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs HULIGANI - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs HULIGANI (+1.5)Xtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.