TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Redsof Chicago White Sox, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,981 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds76c1,073$812 inWon+$260.612,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox22c799.67$180 inLost-$179.8612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Cincinnati Reds55c505$278 inWon+$227.2510748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago White Sox44c310.28$138 inLost-$137.612,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cincinnati Reds65c240.57$157 inWon+$83.851,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Chicago White Sox38c200$76 inLost-$7650647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Chicago White Sox35c192.91$68 inLost-$67.5241346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Chicago White Sox37c148.65$55 inLost-$553,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds62c148$92 inWon+$56.242,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6b…e0f3backed Chicago White Sox38c81.2$31 inLost-$30.8617253.5%92 W · 80 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f52…895cbacked Cincinnati Reds63c79.37$50 inWon+$29.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago White Sox36c74.5$27 inLost-$26.8252638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Cincinnati Reds63c72.68$46 inWon+$26.8925355.7%141 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds74c71$53 inWon+$18.374,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Cincinnati Reds61c65.66$40 inWon+$25.6646659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Chicago White Sox18c55.56$10 inLost-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Cincinnati Reds72c49.97$36 inWon+$13.9579955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Cincinnati Reds73c41.09$30 inWon+$11.0931957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb6f…e420backed Cincinnati Reds64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.