MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31bf9d5f787df8ecee225d59d85c728623695748ed49612da63f58e559b2af13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $859,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,055,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $859,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 195,402$99,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,044.18 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 102,622$57,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,118.23 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 81,291$31,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,468.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 32,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 31,732$8,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,829.29 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 25,435$11,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,147.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 18,127$8,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,969.85 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 12,782$4,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,435.99 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 6c | 11,583$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.92 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 10,850$5,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,859 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Chicago White Sox | 18c | 10,208$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.55 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 7,613$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.95 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 7,303$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.57 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 7,008$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.69 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 6,873$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.67 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 5,571$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.16 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 4,564$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 4,262$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.88 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 3,553$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.22 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 2,424$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 2,148$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago White Sox | 1c | 1,950$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Chicago White Sox | 33c | 1,897$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.96 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,532$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.91 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,327$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,300$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,233$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.62 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,225$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Chicago White Sox | 13c | 1,197$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,147$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 1,106$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.19 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Chicago White Sox | 11c | 1,100$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 9c | 1,041$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Chicago White Sox | 35c | 1,040$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 975$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 872$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.6 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 854.68$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.48 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox | 32c | 837.15$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 803.05$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.74 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 716.67$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 617.18$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 563.62$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Chicago White Sox | 4c | 562.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 550$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 543.43$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.92 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 527$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 515.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.46 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Chicago White Sox | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Chicago White Sox | 17c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 496.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 492.8$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.04 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 485.61$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 10c | 458.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Chicago White Sox | 17c | 440.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 439.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Chicago White Sox | 6c | 438.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Chicago White Sox | 9c | 432.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 431.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 422.14$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.24 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 408.3$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 399.87$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Chicago White Sox | 14c | 392.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 372$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Chicago White Sox | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago White Sox | 25c | 322.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 318.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 316.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 306$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Chicago White Sox | 29c | 288.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Chicago White Sox | 10c | 271.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…14c2backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago White Sox | 15c | 267.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…6353backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 239$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Chicago White Sox | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 220.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 217.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 217.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 203.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 202.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Chicago White Sox | 7c | 200.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 196.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 15.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 16.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 17.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.