Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b00448c5097be77377b4d2aef004f1ac31a1cf3fd96080aa1250c26e1532866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 33c | 214,754$70,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,183.58 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 53,708$36,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,487.62 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 69c | 47,718$32,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,974.23 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 27c | 14,709$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked No | 45c | 9,999$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.64 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 65c | 9,419$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.54 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 22c | 7,829$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.36 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 28c | 6,121$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.9 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 5,864$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.23 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 2,556$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.9 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked No | 12c | 2,181$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.15 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 32c | 1,852$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.96 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 70c | 1,804$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.35 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 4c | 1,794$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,779$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.6 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…d3fdbacked No | 46c | 1,632$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 77c | 1,411$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 75c | 1,363$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.91 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 1,268$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.65 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 26c | 1,212$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.05 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 75c | 1,182$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 1,075$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 1,042$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.53 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1625…6ff7backed Yes | 55c | 1,003$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…ea91backed Yes | 55c | 978.89$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d6…a279backed No | 46c | 972.44$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 3c | 948.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 54c | 942.53$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.56 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 73c | 844.51$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 699.05$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…228dbacked Yes | 55c | 686.51$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 25c | 681$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 68c | 655$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.14 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 626.08$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.01 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 581$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 3c | 564.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed No | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 74c | 484.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes | 65c | 471$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 438.56$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.13 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 58c | 414$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 29c | 398.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 61c | 374.78$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.58 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 69c | 352.26$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 67c | 350$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 43c | 343.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.59 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 17c | 339.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 68c | 315$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 44c | 310.36$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 32c | 282.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 58c | 218.63$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed No | 29c | 181.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed No | 23c | 173.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 65c | 165$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 42c | 155$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Yes | 65c | 146.18$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Yes | 69c | 144$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 25c | 142.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 57c | 132.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 123.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 73c | 108.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 55c | 107.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 31c | 105.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 58c | 102.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 27c | 100.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 78c | 97.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…895cbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…a792backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 82.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 16c | 72.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…2210backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 58c | 70.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 55c | 70.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 41c | 69.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 27c | 69.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Yes | 59c | 68.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 41c | 63.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Yes | 55c | 62.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Yes | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…94c0backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed No | 33c | 53.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Yes | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 28c | 43.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.