Mls · resolved market
Will Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6bb6d1978277ce5fbacae88f249eb619315db03411272bd2c2b37fac87b0c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 7,500$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.88 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 4,008$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.47 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 3,751$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.02 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 3,565$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.42 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 2,018$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 990.91$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.91 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 890.85$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 77c | 655.86$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 558.68$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 77c | 508.11$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 12c | 501$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 12c | 429.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 398.96$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 19c | 307$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…b9efbacked Yes | 7c | 290.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 283.3$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 10c | 254.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 13c | 238.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 15c | 189.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 132.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 78c | 126.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 114$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed No | 78c | 84.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked No | 77c | 54.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…93c2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 78c | 36.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4b…8176backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 77c | 16.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?this page
- Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.