Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33e80099efa219634bf967d070a43ba341e0f226c3657aa7b4a2fcdc7bdac1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof TEAM VISION, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $668,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $773,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 189,335$105,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,481 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Falcons | 37c | 59,479$22,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,379.29 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 57c | 40,547$23,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,529.39 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 36c | 31,181$11,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,883.28 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Falcons | 41c | 22,222$9,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,110.96 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 16,594$6,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,836.33 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked TEAM VISION | 45c | 15,623$7,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,042.34 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked TEAM VISION | 63c | 13,443$8,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,469 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 11,056$6,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,389.02 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf119…dde9backed TEAM VISION | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 10,036$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.94 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TEAM VISION | 63c | 9,800$6,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,173.99 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 27c | 9,425$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,905.92 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 47c | 8,987$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Falcons | 36c | 8,910$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,689.8 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked TEAM VISION | 47c | 7,720$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.32 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed TEAM VISION | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,340 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 17c | 6,876$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.54 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed TEAM VISION | 52c | 6,823$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.29 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked TEAM VISION | 30c | 6,040$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 6,005$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.19 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked TEAM VISION | 55c | 5,834$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 5,834$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.74 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 5,179$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.6 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 40c | 5,046$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.32 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 4,977$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.39 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 4,417$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.77 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 51c | 4,254$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.2 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 67c | 4,100$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.99 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Team Falcons | 70c | 4,013$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.05 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed TEAM VISION | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.94 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Falcons | 29c | 3,939$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.94 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 3,751$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.53 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 54c | 3,749$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.94 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 3,724$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.07 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked TEAM VISION | 70c | 3,490$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.23 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 38c | 3,439$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.08 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 3,340$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 19c | 3,251$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.31 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 22c | 3,227$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.74 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 3,144$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.93 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,972$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.59 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,898$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.28 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,846$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.35 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Falcons | 27c | 2,739$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.89 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…708bbacked TEAM VISION | 29c | 2,735$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons | 41c | 2,613$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.29 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed TEAM VISION | 22c | 2,600$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.99 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8b8ebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,503$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,445$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Team Falcons | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.99 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0c…5f05backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,398$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed TEAM VISION | 39c | 2,393$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.39 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked TEAM VISION | 63c | 2,371$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.6 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Team Falcons | 17c | 2,350$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.42 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked TEAM VISION | 32c | 2,308$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.01 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Falcons | 45c | 2,299$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.09 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Falcons | 18c | 2,266$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.34 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,239$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.21 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,100$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 2,100$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed TEAM VISION | 18c | 2,000$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.17 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed TEAM VISION | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,966$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.26 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 1,828$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.93 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,804$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.46 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,798$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.68 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 1,700$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.99 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,620$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.6 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 1,618$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.34 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,614$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.06 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…7275backed TEAM VISION | 28c | 1,600$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed TEAM VISION | 53c | 1,600$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.99 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed TEAM VISION | 64c | 1,500$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.68 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…808ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked TEAM VISION | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 1,461$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.28 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 1,443$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.09 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Falcons | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,333$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.42 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,307$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.61 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed TEAM VISION | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,221$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.07 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Team Falcons | 14c | 1,220$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed TEAM VISION | 29c | 1,200$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,199$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.72 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,182$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.26 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 1,179$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.98 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked TEAM VISION | 60c | 1,164$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599b…95fabacked TEAM VISION | 33c | 1,152$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.37 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,076$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.61 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed TEAM VISION | 46c | 1,075$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,042$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.87 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,015$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.