Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8580505f2bd815f282348a9e42ccd1e11afec1abb15aee4f0c2964cdb8214fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM VISIONof TEAM VISION, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 120,626$71,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,623.25 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Team Falcons | 41c | 46,533$19,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,033.74 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Falcons | 44c | 21,712$9,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500.52 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 18,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 12,888$7,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.88 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 12,808$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 38c | 12,037$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565.24 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Team Falcons | 44c | 11,400$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.44 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…48bfbacked Team Falcons | 19c | 8,850$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 40c | 8,276$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.74 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 7,812$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.41 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Team Falcons | 14c | 7,650$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 5,662$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.9 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 5,000$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.37 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 4,870$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.72 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64c…6a8fbacked Team Falcons | 20c | 4,505$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked TEAM VISION | 76c | 4,039$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.57 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 3,918$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 26c | 3,914$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.52 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Falcons | 10c | 3,591$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.65 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…4613backed Team Falcons | 28c | 3,512$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 2,834$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.5 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 2,704$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.63 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 2,662$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.63 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked TEAM VISION | 69c | 2,654$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.23 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed TEAM VISION | 73c | 2,600$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 2,533$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.84 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…a961backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed TEAM VISION | 80c | 2,482$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.44 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 2,400$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,259$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed TEAM VISION | 77c | 2,257$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 2,083$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.78 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 2,058$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.84 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Falcons | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked TEAM VISION | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 1,991$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.43 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 1,988$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.62 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked TEAM VISION | 77c | 1,988$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.71 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,850$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…35a3backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8b8ebacked Team Falcons | 17c | 1,572$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked TEAM VISION | 64c | 1,504$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Team Falcons | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,388$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 1,387$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked TEAM VISION | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.58 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…cd68backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 1,324$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.37 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Team Falcons | 18c | 1,279$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed TEAM VISION | 75c | 1,256$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.76 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed TEAM VISION | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Falcons | 18c | 1,220$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 1,148$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.68 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,147$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.68 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed TEAM VISION | 72c | 1,122$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.04 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…52c2backed Team Falcons | 24c | 1,080$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Team Falcons | 19c | 1,045$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,038$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,025$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.35 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 1,022$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.87 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked TEAM VISION | 61c | 964.84$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.48 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Falcons | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 853.8$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.97 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21c…78aebacked Team Falcons | 26c | 844$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Falcons | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…2b82backed TEAM VISION | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 17c | 647$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Team Falcons | 22c | 646$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 22c | 628.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked TEAM VISION | 72c | 617.35$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.35 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked TEAM VISION | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e9…7269backed Team Falcons | 11c | 599.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 566.13$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.16 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked TEAM VISION | 75c | 539$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 532.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Falcons | 44c | 527.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.32 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Team Falcons | 28c | 522$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked Team Falcons | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked TEAM VISION | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed TEAM VISION | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed TEAM VISION | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…c5a5backed Team Falcons | 39c | 491.8$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…c385backed Team Falcons | 42c | 470.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 65%147 W · 79 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…da40backed Team Falcons | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…6453backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Falcons | 22c | 443.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 425.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Falcons | 18c | 403.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Team Falcons | 36c | 400$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group StageTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.