Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e2f6709d01352552b1245dd4f20c5fcc1b25e5e423e6a98e1750f9bd8bde846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Aurora, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $588,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $738,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 43c | 120,584$51,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,278.61 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Team Yandex | 57c | 21,600$12,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,288 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Aurora | 15c | 17,300$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.59 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Aurora | 15c | 16,541$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 14,400$8,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,192 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 4c | 14,250$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.96 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Yandex | 56c | 12,737$7,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,578.88 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 11,346$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.63 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7993…cf5abacked Team Yandex | 73c | 11,263$8,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.64 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Yandex | 61c | 10,766$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.06 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora | 4c | 9,796$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.49 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…629cbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 9,180$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex | 61c | 8,143$4,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.54 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Yandex | 79c | 7,274$5,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.29 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 43c | 7,100$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.12 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 7,053$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548.07 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Team Yandex | 78c | 7,039$5,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.56 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 39c | 5,809$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.41 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Yandex | 57c | 5,750$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.32 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Yandex | 61c | 5,715$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.46 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 19c | 5,227$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.48 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…053bbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 4,590$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…0ca5backed Aurora | 43c | 4,538$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed Aurora | 37c | 4,455$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.3 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 4,315$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.51 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Aurora | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…d5eabacked Team Yandex | 57c | 3,840$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora | 22c | 3,828$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.57 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Yandex | 72c | 3,338$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.76 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 3,253$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e9…7269backed Aurora | 3c | 3,200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Aurora | 44c | 3,105$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.48 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Aurora | 39c | 3,025$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.91 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 21c | 3,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.81 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed Team Yandex | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Yandex | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…36cdbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 2,884$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.28 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…90f3backed Aurora | 26c | 2,664$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.82 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Yandex | 78c | 2,559$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.28 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…1683backed Aurora | 20c | 2,405$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.37 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…d3adbacked Aurora | 21c | 2,403$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 12c | 2,375$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Yandex | 59c | 2,033$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.31 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Aurora | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora | 41c | 1,940$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,912$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.08 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 33c | 1,874$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.23 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Aurora | 35c | 1,874$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.42 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 45c | 1,692$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.1 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…0486backed Aurora | 36c | 1,677$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.15 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…5de0backed Aurora | 40c | 1,657$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.85 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 28c | 1,649$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Yandex | 76c | 1,613$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.36 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Aurora | 41c | 1,578$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,554$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.3 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 1,540$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.9 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 1,513$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…0446backed Aurora | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Yandex | 63c | 1,500$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.96 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex | 69c | 1,480$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.68 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Aurora | 13c | 1,347$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Team Yandex | 68c | 1,297$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.99 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 1,282$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.71 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 1,276$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.67 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…01a9backed Aurora | 14c | 1,269$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Aurora | 39c | 1,262$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.21 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Yandex | 59c | 1,221$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.15 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Aurora | 34c | 1,138$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.18 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Aurora | 35c | 1,131$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.72 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e2…9e36backed Aurora | 38c | 1,117$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.51 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Aurora | 43c | 1,074$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.82 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…a1b2backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora | 42c | 1,051$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.39 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,022$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.31 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Aurora | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Aurora | 33c | 999.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Aurora | 12c | 999.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Yandex | 57c | 942.89$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.44 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Aurora | 13c | 941.61$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…571dbacked Aurora | 33c | 929.05$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Aurora | 10c | 928.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Aurora | 40c | 888$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.15 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Yandex | 60c | 883$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Aurora | 47c | 853.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Aurora | 42c | 847.33$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed Team Yandex | 60c | 822.03$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.29 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Yandex | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…9c8abacked Aurora | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…7ee8backed Aurora | 13c | 799.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 792.54$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.06 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Team Yandex | 57c | 783$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.