CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bd8ba5c04093713827dd7ac4a1d0c8c2099f9ef1bbf10656fb05429b9658be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb003…d9c9backed Over | 39c | 969.06$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 61c | 967$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Under | 62c | 480.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.16 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…0261backed Over | 38c | 369.47$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 62c | 211.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Over | 38c | 194.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 62c | 108.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 58c | 108.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…86acbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 63c | 84.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 42c | 67.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 63c | 67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…f245backed Over | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 55.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 37c | 53.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…f5e9backed Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…88a1backed Over | 64c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.