CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e01057719c1196765fb56ca6a99c9713dca2387a6b03d287bb26ca13c79d585
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85fb…89babacked ALKA | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 70c | 608.79$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed ALKA | 32c | 501.56$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN | 73c | 472.53$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ShindeN | 49c | 421.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked ShindeN | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ShindeN | 73c | 407.55$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed ShindeN | 45c | 352.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ShindeN | 67c | 294.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed ALKA | 54c | 281.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked ShindeN | 26c | 249.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALKA | 34c | 213.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked ShindeN | 51c | 209.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 204 | 36.8%75 W · 129 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked ALKA | 67c | 207.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed ALKA | 71c | 197.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed ALKA | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked ALKA | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA | 33c | 157.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked ShindeN | 45c | 150.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed ALKA | 65c | 148.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ALKA | 30c | 146.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed ALKA | 55c | 138.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed ALKA | 56c | 117.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked ALKA | 77c | 110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ALKA | 38c | 109$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ALKA | 30c | 108.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked ShindeN | 51c | 101.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…c5fdbacked ALKA | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked ALKA | 33c | 99.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…deddbacked ShindeN | 24c | 80.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ShindeN | 36c | 79.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 66c | 73.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked ShindeN | 19c | 73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ALKA | 28c | 71.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked ShindeN | 28c | 66.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ALKA | 17c | 65.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked ALKA | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked ALKA | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked ALKA | 37c | 59.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 309 | 38.5%119 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA | 33c | 59.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked ALKA | 31c | 55.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed ALKA | 27c | 54.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked ShindeN | 26c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ShindeN | 66c | 42.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ShindeN | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed ShindeN | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked ShindeN | 34c | 30.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked ShindeN | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 50c | 29.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ALKA | 50c | 28.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked ShindeN | 61c | 22.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ALKA | 58c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed ALKA | 69c | 20.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ef…fe4bbacked ShindeN | 75c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed ShindeN | 70c | 16.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed ShindeN | 63c | 16.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…60f6backed ShindeN | 74c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.