CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x296e43735861ce8bb89d8619abefe9be4e23930ac772d6a0940a9fc7699a9111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed ALKA | 27c | 930.78$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.57 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked ALKA | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ShindeN | 70c | 507.24$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ShindeN | 65c | 436.89$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.95 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ShindeN | 63c | 386.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ecf5backed ShindeN | 66c | 379.49$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ShindeN | 72c | 307.92$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked ALKA | 14c | 278.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed ALKA | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ALKA | 48c | 238.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ShindeN | 77c | 225.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ShindeN | 64c | 175.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ShindeN | 70c | 122.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ShindeN | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ALKA | 50c | 88.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed ShindeN | 55c | 85.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ALKA | 33c | 72.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ALKA | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked ShindeN | 67c | 53.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked ShindeN | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ALKA | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ShindeN | 52c | 47.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked ALKA | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ShindeN | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ShindeN | 76c | 35.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 66c | 33.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ShindeN | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c66…088cbacked ShindeN | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked ShindeN | 44c | 25.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ShindeN | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7442…38b7backed ShindeN | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)ShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.