CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47ec43dca975a4608172eadb2e9f465cea59de64be80cf8d8ef71799da207d7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 51c | 4,653$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed ALKA | 48c | 2,999$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ShindeN | 53c | 842.58$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.99 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed ALKA | 47c | 717.06$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.02 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d9c9backed ALKA | 50c | 636$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked ALKA | 47c | 606.38$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked ShindeN | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ALKA | 48c | 481.18$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked ALKA | 47c | 468$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ShindeN | 52c | 460.73$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.36 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ALKA | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked ALKA | 51c | 371.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed ShindeN | 53c | 354.04$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.04 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ShindeN | 53c | 300$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed ALKA | 55c | 171.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed ShindeN | 52c | 162.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ALKA | 51c | 127.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 51c | 102.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed ShindeN | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ff…cb8dbacked ALKA | 47c | 95.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ALKA | 46c | 92.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked ALKA | 48c | 88.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked ALKA | 48c | 79.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked ShindeN | 53c | 69.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed ALKA | 47c | 69.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked ShindeN | 46c | 65.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked ShindeN | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed ALKA | 55c | 28.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed ALKA | 47c | 21.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked ShindeN | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerShindeN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.