Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f222076b7b5cac94643842f3b10ddf7042257cc301a21ca96f23749f729faf

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $386,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $326,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,913 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	22c	27,151$5,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,290.52	192	15.6%30 W · 162 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	0c	19,546$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.27	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,876.41	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed No	0c	9,800$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc1…0a06backed Yes	42c	8,792$3,697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,095.46	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	66c	7,577$4,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,601.61	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	31c	7,112$2,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,893.46	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	11c	5,842$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,198.88	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	25c	5,317$1,311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,005.65	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	12c	5,042$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,449.72	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd376…231dbacked Yes	28c	4,771$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,420.61	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	79c	4,704$3,701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,701.22	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	1c	4,023$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	16c	3,860$618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,242.39	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	32c	3,801$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,580.43	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	75c	3,599$2,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$888.65	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked No	8c	3,517$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.46	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	47c	2,967$1,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.89	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	29c	2,958$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,085.26	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	74c	2,700$2,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,007.53	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	77c	2,697$2,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.72	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No	43c	2,630$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.62	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked No	2c	2,473$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.97	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	25c	2,182$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,636.96	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd427…05adbacked No	1c	2,167$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	265	16.6%44 W · 221 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked Yes	20c	2,126$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,711.6	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4827…7d38backed Yes	30c	2,026$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,422.31	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.24per pick	32cpaid	-72%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	80c	1,886$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	1,809$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,656.45	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	9c	1,800$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.74	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	24c	1,732$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,322.7	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	13c	1,714$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,496.12	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	1,697$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,544.09	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1425…d60dbacked Yes	23c	1,642$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,271.2	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	70c	1,609$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.83	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	24c	1,602$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,225	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	1,582$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,105.56	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	24c	1,578$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.98	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	77c	1,536$1,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.55	73	71.2%52 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	15c	1,502$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.74	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes	71c	1,470$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.37	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	46c	1,440$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.56	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes	29c	1,380$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.6	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	9c	1,362$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,238.92	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No	34c	1,348$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.03	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed No	30c	1,261$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.28	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked No	9c	1,260$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.12	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	16c	1,243$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,043.07	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	10c	1,225$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,103.62	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No	7c	1,206$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.11	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	25c	1,200$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.29	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7111…7c21backed Yes	78c	1,152$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.19	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	38c	1,137$430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$706.93	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	22c	1,122$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$873.22	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed No	33c	1,119$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.59	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	27c	1,088$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$791.8	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x355f…1847backed Yes	24c	1,046$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.35	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa02…f3d3backed Yes	27c	1,042$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.8	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f7…9ed6backed Yes	60c	1,034$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.35	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	70c	1,031$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.73	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	75c	1,027$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.91	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	14c	1,014$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.01	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b0a…0190backed No	5c	1,005$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.86	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed No	44c	999.99$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	999.99$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.44	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	26c	960$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.94	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	48c	919.44$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.44	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb87f…f7d4backed No	75c	901.56$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.7	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70f8…513dbacked Yes	4c	900$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$864	74	17.6%13 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac5f…d808backed Yes	11c	899.89$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.9	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	39c	880.25$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.94	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	26c	859$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.26	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	33c	850.24$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.14	424	24.5%104 W · 320 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aed…0b9dbacked Yes	15c	800$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	5c	799.97$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.27	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	16c	783.37$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.37	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	13c	750$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	23c	748.13$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.1	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	19c	740.59$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.95	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	2c	732.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.57	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	716.04$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.04	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	47c	701.96$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.35	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	35c	700$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.63	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d8…06c4backed Yes	15c	699.98$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.98	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	29c	694.96$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.68	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	66c	687.13$452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.98	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddd8…e6f7backed No	2c	679.78$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	74c	677$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.99	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	59c	662.88$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.78	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Yes	68c	660$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.73	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a79…e2afbacked No	71c	652.24$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.54	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	25c	644.62$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.38	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcbe…b37cbacked Yes	30c	616.69$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.69	74	32.4%24 W · 50 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf9…b9ccbacked Yes	14c	600$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.9	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+102.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed No	43c	600$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.39	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	29c	583.81$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.58	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	24c	560.46$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.47	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	44c	551$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$307.18	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ab…2bcfbacked Yes	25c	545.05$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$411.22	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b8…11a5backed Yes	15c	533$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.4	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	+13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event