Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc29d2d1d6376152aaae1907dd4a81f983109905b826e4acd3bd75c91dfd89013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof Cloud9, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked BESTIA | 52c | 5,702$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.26 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed BESTIA | 48c | 5,448$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.1 | 198 | 60.6%120 W · 78 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Cloud9 | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Cloud9 | 48c | 2,940$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed BESTIA | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cloud9 | 47c | 1,897$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.59 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Cloud9 | 48c | 1,209$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud9 | 52c | 999$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Cloud9 | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…32b5backed Cloud9 | 48c | 770.02$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.61 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Cloud9 | 51c | 713.52$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed BESTIA | 51c | 678.43$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.43 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed BESTIA | 45c | 607.64$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Cloud9 | 49c | 530$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Cloud9 | 50c | 519.4$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed BESTIA | 49c | 511.51$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed BESTIA | 47c | 505$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA | 51c | 476.62$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.17 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…d35ebacked Cloud9 | 50c | 464$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Cloud9 | 41c | 398.34$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Cloud9 | 51c | 396.18$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed BESTIA | 48c | 356.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…4247backed Cloud9 | 55c | 323.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 70c | 319.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed BESTIA | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 59c | 261.8$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cloud9 | 52c | 251.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked BESTIA | 50c | 248.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Cloud9 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Cloud9 | 51c | 203.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Cloud9 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…02e8backed Cloud9 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Cloud9 | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Cloud9 | 55c | 165.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BESTIA | 65c | 147.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Cloud9 | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cloud9 | 51c | 119.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed Cloud9 | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Cloud9 | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Cloud9 | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cloud9 | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked BESTIA | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA | 60c | 83.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Cloud9 | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…8b5ebacked Cloud9 | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed BESTIA | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…f5e9backed BESTIA | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Cloud9 | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked BESTIA | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…aa7cbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed BESTIA | 53c | 47.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed BESTIA | 53c | 43.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 40.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed BESTIA | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Cloud9 | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…a02dbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Cloud9 | 50c | 29.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…9c18backed Cloud9 | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed BESTIA | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked BESTIA | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)BESTIA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)BESTIA won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InBESTIA won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.