TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No39c12,924$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,883.743751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Yes61c10,312$6,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,290.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes52c8,932$4,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,661.4970435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes41c7,345$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.593732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c6,919$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,380.911,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No38c6,810$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,254.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No35c6,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9001250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No36c5,497$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.0641553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No57c3,870$2,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.141080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c3,792$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.121,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No35c3,762$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.5515442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes64c3,126$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes65c3,100$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.4687531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004332.6%14 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8601540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes62c2,903$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No44c2,483$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.3288137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes35c2,406$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.12437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No38c2,400$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4883857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No53c2,007$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.23850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes62c1,992$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.3812736.2%46 W · 81 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes53c1,810$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.1120832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes59c1,346$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001435.7%5 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.28per pick64cpaid-48.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x57f6…ba20backed No68c1,255$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c1,203$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.0760648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No57c1,163$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003948.7%19 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c1,044$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.634642.2%146 W · 200 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes65c1,025$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No50c943$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No39c714.99$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.1510660.4%64 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No44c710.46$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0242647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No35c707.45$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.6152046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Yes64c700$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4482259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes65c699.42$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0625729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No36c680.71$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6626445.8%121 W · 143 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No36c600.7$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.459659.4%57 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Yes64c550$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes64c525$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3363060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…08edbacked Yes64c523.6$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No57c517.38$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.473056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Yes58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes52c490.38$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes60c409.76$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24626144.4%116 W · 145 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes23c399.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes48c377.55$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9510539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No36c370.67$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Yes62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No35c320.25$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.2131342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Yes64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes64c308.04$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.848138.3%31 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed No59c302.15$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.662661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked No34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1983933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1988038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes56c254.74$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.246734.3%23 W · 44 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No67c248.24$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.922250%11 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes61c237.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.759441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0692…3e4dbacked Yes65c236.18$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c1…94d7backed Yes31c235.1$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes40c223.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7410743.9%47 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes62c221.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.633161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94aa…a526backed No35c214.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No41c196$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.644057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No34c190.83$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.943461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes41c175.58$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8712551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No52c171.94$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8539443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028540%114 W · 171 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e69…074bbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes63c158$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.543043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…ed8fbacked Yes63c156.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes25c154.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.462437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…aa1abacked Yes66c151.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No34c149.23$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+89.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes46c144.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1214353.8%77 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes61c139.41$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.43751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c139.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6661447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes11c138.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5299435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…12c5backed Yes66c136.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c136.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.527236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x416c…a782backed Yes62c130.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No47c129.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.688250%41 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Yes38c128.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-69.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No38c127.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1610752.3%56 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No34c126.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.384443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Yes62c120.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb8…e2e3backed Yes65c120.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes66c118$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.885543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes49c113$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.816437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes54c110$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.436248.6%176 W · 186 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes46c109.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0315354.2%83 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes39c104$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4214238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Yes11c103.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.343964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes55c101.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.934944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24f3…cf28backed No38c101.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No62c100.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.292839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634872.9%35 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.