Champions League · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2026-08-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda31d788a4f3fefea8ec7a65c593112d126e1d17d436f1ab02643d44bc2a8854
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 13c | 5,759$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.66 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…73f6backed Yes | 17c | 5,225$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 3,109$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.78 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 2,735$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.49 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 13c | 2,163$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.19 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,051$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…bc32backed Yes | 16c | 1,713$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 13c | 868.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 15c | 703.83$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Yes | 16c | 687.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 634.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 14c | 595.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed Yes | 15c | 580$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 530.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 456.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 14c | 372.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 18c | 334.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 15c | 332.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 17c | 289.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Yes | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 13c | 195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 181.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 13c | 165.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 18c | 144.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 17c | 119.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…0d5dbacked Yes | 16c | 110.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 18c | 66.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…eceebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2026-08-04?this page
- Will Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.