CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7780dfdea2346a0780bb9babaa24ba8f3380c6b11f80a36d15c168c7622f1e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JAMof Nexus, JAM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Nexus | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JAM | 50c | 1,734$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.76 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed JAM | 49c | 573.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.47 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…5becbacked Nexus | 39c | 499.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked JAM | 50c | 418.37$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed JAM | 44c | 398.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed JAM | 66c | 335.52$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nexus | 51c | 227$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nexus | 51c | 160.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nexus | 55c | 145.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed JAM | 60c | 139.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked JAM | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked JAM | 56c | 99.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked JAM | 63c | 79.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Nexus | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nexus | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked JAM | 40c | 68.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed JAM | 57c | 60.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked JAM | 57c | 57.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nexus | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed JAM | 61c | 48.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…52fabacked JAM | 71c | 38.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed JAM | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Nexus | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nexus | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nexus | 60c | 21.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 PlayoffsJAM won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM - Map 1 WinnerJAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.