CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9179087a99fec308ed8d8bcc3e18633d4a96fcdc7899d357382ba3c8cd891760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JAMof Nexus, JAM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked JAM | 47c | 6,221$2,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.09 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Nexus | 52c | 2,971$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.98 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Nexus | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Nexus | 55c | 870.01$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.83 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed JAM | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed JAM | 52c | 658.48$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.94 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Nexus | 53c | 651.83$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.86 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Nexus | 52c | 636.03$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.73 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed JAM | 48c | 339.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.75 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nexus | 51c | 327.43$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Nexus | 53c | 319.57$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Nexus | 55c | 262.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nexus | 38c | 240.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked JAM | 52c | 222$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.56 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Nexus | 53c | 216$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed JAM | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nexus | 62c | 178$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed JAM | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed JAM | 46c | 132$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nexus | 31c | 128$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nexus | 47c | 122$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed JAM | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed JAM | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed JAM | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed JAM | 47c | 100.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed JAM | 74c | 90.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked JAM | 67c | 80.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Nexus | 54c | 60.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nexus | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed JAM | 66c | 55.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed JAM | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked JAM | 65c | 54.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nexus | 28c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Nexus | 54c | 51.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nexus | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed JAM | 36c | 46.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Nexus | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…9a14backed Nexus | 42c | 45.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8d1cbacked Nexus | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked JAM | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd7…70ddbacked JAM | 60c | 35.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed JAM | 48c | 32.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Nexus | 42c | 30.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked JAM | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed JAM | 48c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked JAM | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x028a…2b3ebacked JAM | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked JAM | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM - Map 1 WinnerJAM won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs JAM - Map 2 WinnerJAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.