TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BBL Esportsof BBL Esports, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$383,957
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$411,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,957 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed BBL Esports54c44,445$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,444.7724145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Gentle Mates66c39,148$26,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,022.7125554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed BBL Esports30c18,698$5,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,127.161650%8 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+43.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Gentle Mates67c17,898$12,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,009.0526650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gentle Mates62c13,560$8,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,429.8440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked BBL Esports55c10,741$5,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,833.3717948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Gentle Mates45c10,730$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.664740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Gentle Mates32c10,001$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,162.6332245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates46c9,908$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,557.4665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Gentle Mates45c9,077$4,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.4110455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Gentle Mates46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.983956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates45c8,967$4,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,072.2953159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Gentle Mates71c8,692$6,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,162.7134356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed BBL Esports45c8,197$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,514.5322344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed BBL Esports34c7,848$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,179.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed BBL Esports46c7,748$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.486038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked BBL Esports64c6,507$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.335142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gentle Mates46c6,167$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.153355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Gentle Mates45c6,014$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,725.5156357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked BBL Esports35c5,971$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,901.4650944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports47c5,749$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.3593049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Gentle Mates4c5,054$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Gentle Mates46c5,044$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.5619860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed BBL Esports34c4,412$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.762055%11 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed BBL Esports53c4,259$2,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.865658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates46c3,970$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.0368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed BBL Esports36c3,872$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.2314750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed BBL Esports63c3,674$2,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.734047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Gentle Mates45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.963243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed BBL Esports42c3,412$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.1410946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BBL Esports45c3,395$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.811,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Gentle Mates22c2,920$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.724932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed BBL Esports58c2,908$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.0746326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked BBL Esports54c2,818$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.161050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa4…5dc8backed BBL Esports56c2,790$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.62564%16 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Gentle Mates41c2,549$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.3360022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed BBL Esports40c2,182$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.7262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Gentle Mates50c2,005$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed BBL Esports29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4208640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed BBL Esports54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.856552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18de…7c92backed Gentle Mates79c1,767$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed BBL Esports45c1,706$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.6826932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked BBL Esports55c1,545$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.4510346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed BBL Esports55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6751936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BBL Esports38c1,450$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.981,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed BBL Esports34c1,438$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.75143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Gentle Mates1c1,312$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1216839.3%66 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed Gentle Mates57c1,287$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.113345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked BBL Esports55c1,165$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.456931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked BBL Esports47c1,155$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.6130835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gentle Mates73c1,112$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.5351749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed BBL Esports53c1,105$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.28850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked BBL Esports44c1,100$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed BBL Esports56c1,057$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.5914955.7%83 W · 66 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed Gentle Mates41c1,047$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.831136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked BBL Esports30c1,002$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.531560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BBL Esports51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49024250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked BBL Esports55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Gentle Mates2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20258%2 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked BBL Esports55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45012550.4%63 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a22…5c62backed BBL Esports54c999$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Gentle Mates43c950.73$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9418641.4%77 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed BBL Esports41c946.57$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.113355.6%74 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gentle Mates18c908$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.4566438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed BBL Esports49c899.69$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7716144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7290…bdf6backed BBL Esports54c898.47$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e38…2a58backed BBL Esports56c895$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.84273.8%31 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Gentle Mates7c894$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.926317.5%11 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Gentle Mates54c880.96$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9410455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked BBL Esports55c875.27$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.621668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Gentle Mates48c809.99$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4256551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed BBL Esports52c799.99$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38426447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Gentle Mates44c798$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1213741.6%57 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed BBL Esports55c750.88$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.887456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed BBL Esports40c692.59$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.591833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed BBL Esports54c682$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.725356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Gentle Mates44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BBL Esports35c672.41$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3955637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Gentle Mates15c658$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8523836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Gentle Mates62c650$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed BBL Esports56c637$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.287655.3%42 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed BBL Esports51c628.24$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.2423151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Gentle Mates72c617.76$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.795464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Gentle Mates39c607$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7316033.8%54 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Gentle Mates43c577$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1128143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BBL Esports53c572.68$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed BBL Esports31c561.29$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.155151%26 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Gentle Mates45c550$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.532047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed BBL Esports55c548$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.619655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed BBL Esports53c514.99$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.051952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Gentle Mates71c509.98$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2043…5954backed BBL Esports33c509$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4de…3920backed BBL Esports55c508.48$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed BBL Esports54c501$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4620160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed BBL Esports55c500.1$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0525453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Gentle Mates71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed BBL Esports66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17022449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked BBL Esports29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3551233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Gentle Mates44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed BBL Esports56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.