CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258ab085e98db3e90e78a06d264e55a57ce3b3fb9f9268b0fc44d84e365d73e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Liquid, Betclic Apogee Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Liquid | 28c | 4,373$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.81 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…8eafbacked Liquid | 66c | 3,005$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.55 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Liquid | 27c | 2,875$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.54 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 63c | 1,808$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.34 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Liquid | 11c | 1,133$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Liquid | 30c | 892.95$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.87 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 41c | 716.6$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.71 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Liquid | 21c | 591.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 270 | 41.1%111 W · 159 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 71c | 499.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 70c | 430.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 68c | 304.28$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…5becbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 42c | 300$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.4 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Liquid | 38c | 262.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Liquid | 33c | 216.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 68c | 184.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846e…a3e2backed Liquid | 57c | 176.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 59c | 132.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…1ee0backed Liquid | 27c | 131.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 66c | 124.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 59c | 106.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Liquid | 35c | 103.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Liquid | 26c | 102.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 130 | 63.1%82 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Liquid | 28c | 97.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 690 | 41.9%289 W · 401 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 79c | 52.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 55c | 47.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2738…95a0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 44c | 45.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c5…e030backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Liquid | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 59c | 37.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Liquid | 38c | 30.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…c9e7backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd47…3e69backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 72c | 25.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 67c | 25.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Liquid | 48c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.