CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc0cfecc53a519bd5a071323646a6b1d4dd6db6c744d05c70705b8eae9898cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, Betclic Apogee Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 20c | 4,604$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.45 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 8c | 2,233$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.32 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked Liquid | 77c | 1,587$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.69 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Liquid | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 11c | 718.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Liquid | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Liquid | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 3c | 499.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 10c | 410.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 16c | 335.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Liquid | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Liquid | 74c | 280.48$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 23c | 213.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Liquid | 77c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…b74fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 26c | 115.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 25c | 101.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…617bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 13c | 85.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Liquid | 76c | 84.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 40c | 69.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 216 | 50%108 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 21c | 68.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…58c0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 30c | 67.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Liquid | 57c | 45.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | +15.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…f719backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 30c | 43.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Liquid | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 409 | 71.9%294 W · 115 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Liquid | 74c | 21.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 228 | 38.2%87 W · 141 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Liquid | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 182 | 81.3%148 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed Liquid | 74c | 17.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 1 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.