TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof Astralis, FOKUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Astralis64c22,577$14,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,149.313,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOKUS31c15,076$4,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,673.455,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis52c13,858$7,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,651.742142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Astralis72c13,560$9,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.8263157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FOKUS48c10,271$4,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,916.7775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9833359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FOKUS0c8,702$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.311,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked FOKUS42c7,558$3,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.756036.7%22 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS30c7,502$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.311,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FOKUS32c7,439$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.4866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked FOKUS29c7,233$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.3119229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Astralis53c6,643$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.7542154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c23…d48fbacked Astralis70c5,949$4,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.61560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FOKUS39c5,583$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.4437157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Astralis74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed FOKUS11c5,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55516542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FOKUS36c4,832$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,752.252,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FOKUS23c4,534$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.081,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Astralis70c4,410$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.8836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FOKUS32c4,015$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.671645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Astralis74c3,558$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.2821135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FOKUS28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Astralis67c2,945$1,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.842,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS38c2,865$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.722,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Astralis51c2,846$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.5322449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS32c2,513$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.685,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS37c2,500$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.063,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FOKUS31c2,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7651,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c30…54a2backed Astralis78c2,177$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.53066.7%20 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed FOKUS47c2,114$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed FOKUS32c2,000$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.841,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked FOKUS12c1,991$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.613834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS35c1,906$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.172,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed FOKUS31c1,820$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7946555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Astralis54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82814362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FOKUS38c1,735$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.082,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked Astralis77c1,650$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis70c1,622$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.142,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis64c1,607$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.436,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Astralis64c1,555$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.6715962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed FOKUS35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5259842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Astralis64c1,500$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.483,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed FOKUS28c1,481$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.740542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Astralis71c1,400$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40122266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked Astralis71c1,388$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.532369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FOKUS44c1,323$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.4757641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Astralis56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS46c1,233$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.945,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked FOKUS27c1,222$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1638454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Astralis71c1,200$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.524562%152 W · 93 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked FOKUS29c1,135$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.5944747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed FOKUS27c1,103$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.810143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed FOKUS26c1,038$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9952150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis65c1,035$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.072,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed FOKUS27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9925142.6%107 W · 144 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis66c983.77$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.394,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1311…b275backed FOKUS35c910.23$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.551822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef4…349fbacked FOKUS24c896.19$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis55c872.33$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.32,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS25c810.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.863,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis63c793.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.61,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Astralis72c766.67$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.673956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed FOKUS25c759.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Astralis64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27019357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed FOKUS30c742.05$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.6259755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Astralis71c708.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2612055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked FOKUS27c673$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5922838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FOKUS30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed FOKUS45c662.34$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.626752.2%35 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Astralis65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3820458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Astralis66c600.36$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1213852.9%73 W · 65 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FOKUS29c599.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Astralis71c595.56$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.718047.5%38 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS34c586$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.245,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis64c585.46$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.762,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed Astralis53c554.84$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.14645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3f…3543backed Astralis71c554.01$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.662853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked Astralis70c525.46$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4613742.3%58 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed FOKUS48c518.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.113467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Astralis74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS46c497.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.792,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed FOKUS30c492.75$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2176…b83dbacked Astralis68c492.34$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.022646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked FOKUS37c492.26$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5675833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39ae…caf2backed Astralis74c492$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed FOKUS36c462.27$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2554732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed Astralis70c458.98$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.035860.3%35 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Astralis71c450$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.518549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Astralis59c447.2$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.361837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked Astralis74c444.6$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.63351.5%17 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked FOKUS29c438.9$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2824746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Astralis70c407.14$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.144751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Astralis74c404.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.255354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed FOKUS46c400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.561,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed FOKUS32c392.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9736649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis72c375$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10547147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Astralis70c371.5$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1783543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FOKUS32c358.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.144,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Astralis52c357.55$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.091,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.