CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ba06a8a89f05eba35f56462be9b914ccef10103696e6c296add7b719c82be47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Astralis, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87da…53d1backed FOKUS | 48c | 9,816$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,115.47 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Astralis | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FOKUS | 53c | 4,592$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.28 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis | 53c | 3,680$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.13 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked FOKUS | 76c | 3,340$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.39 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 63c | 2,864$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis | 45c | 2,856$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Astralis | 31c | 2,488$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked FOKUS | 45c | 2,091$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.81 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Astralis | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS | 76c | 2,000$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked FOKUS | 71c | 1,628$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.85 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Astralis | 29c | 1,587$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.28 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FOKUS | 55c | 1,584$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.62 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Astralis | 23c | 1,497$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked FOKUS | 46c | 1,296$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.79 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Astralis | 46c | 1,177$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed FOKUS | 43c | 997.07$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.7 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed Astralis | 32c | 989.69$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS | 56c | 903.16$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.13 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis | 21c | 889$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Astralis | 61c | 758.69$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.62 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Astralis | 41c | 735.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 74c | 634$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.59 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Astralis | 38c | 587.24$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.27 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Astralis | 41c | 570.85$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.59 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Astralis | 28c | 561$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 53c | 551.41$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.95 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked FOKUS | 34c | 536.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.52 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Astralis | 79c | 535.1$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.86 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Astralis | 58c | 506.41$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.55 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Astralis | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Astralis | 43c | 480$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…e59bbacked FOKUS | 59c | 423.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FOKUS | 53c | 416$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 54c | 412.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Astralis | 17c | 409.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FOKUS | 51c | 404.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.57 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed FOKUS | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed FOKUS | 45c | 363.13$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.14 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed FOKUS | 34c | 343.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Astralis | 31c | 326.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed FOKUS | 77c | 324.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked FOKUS | 33c | 318.13$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS | 52c | 314.06$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Astralis | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Astralis | 49c | 291.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Astralis | 48c | 279$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed FOKUS | 47c | 257.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS | 53c | 254.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Astralis | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Astralis | 11c | 228.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Astralis | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…b83dbacked Astralis | 57c | 218.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Astralis | 46c | 203.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed FOKUS | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 35c | 199.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed FOKUS | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 20c | 192$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed FOKUS | 53c | 190.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed FOKUS | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Astralis | 50c | 179.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Astralis | 46c | 174.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Astralis | 63c | 165.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…f207backed Astralis | 64c | 160$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 62c | 145.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Astralis | 33c | 144.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed FOKUS | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Astralis | 78c | 129.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis | 40c | 124.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Astralis | 24c | 117$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed FOKUS | 33c | 102.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Astralis | 67c | 102.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked Astralis | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked FOKUS | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Astralis | 63c | 96.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 62c | 93.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed FOKUS | 53c | 92.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FOKUS | 54c | 91.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked FOKUS | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…de16backed Astralis | 64c | 84.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Astralis | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Astralis | 76c | 79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Astralis | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Astralis | 63c | 77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Astralis | 51c | 76.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Astralis | 66c | 73.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Astralis | 48c | 72.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed FOKUS | 48c | 62.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Astralis | 56c | 61.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed FOKUS | 72c | 57.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed FOKUS | 70c | 57.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Astralis | 49c | 53.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked FOKUS | 77c | 49.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked FOKUS | 52c | 49.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…bfe2backed FOKUS | 41c | 48.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Astralis | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Astralis | 63c | 46.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerAstralis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.