TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FOKUSof Astralis, FOKUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87da…53d1backed FOKUS48c9,816$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,115.4737646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Astralis49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9203641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FOKUS53c4,592$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.283,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis53c3,680$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.132,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked FOKUS76c3,340$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.3963157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis63c2,864$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.247,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Astralis45c2,856$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.056,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Astralis31c2,488$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.483,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked FOKUS45c2,091$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.8138454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Astralis10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015244.7%68 W · 84 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS76c2,000$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked FOKUS71c1,628$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.8522449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Astralis29c1,587$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.282,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FOKUS55c1,584$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.6275245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Astralis23c1,497$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.349335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked FOKUS46c1,296$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.7916946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed Astralis46c1,177$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.399748.5%47 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed FOKUS43c997.07$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.79254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Astralis32c989.69$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9921135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS56c903.16$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.132,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Astralis21c889$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.291,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Astralis61c758.69$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6289046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Astralis67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Astralis41c735.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS74c634$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.595,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Astralis38c587.24$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.273,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Astralis41c570.85$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.594,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Astralis28c561$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.042,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS53c551.41$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.954,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked FOKUS34c536.52$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.524934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Astralis79c535.1$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8621346.9%100 W · 113 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Astralis58c506.41$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5518549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Astralis65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3259063.3%57 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Astralis43c480$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.913834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f7…e59bbacked FOKUS59c423.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.985545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed FOKUS53c416$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.161,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FOKUS54c412.69$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.183,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Astralis17c409.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.92725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked FOKUS51c404.24$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.571,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed FOKUS25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30015962.9%100 W · 59 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed FOKUS45c363.13$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1411949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed FOKUS34c343.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6136649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Astralis31c326.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.292,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed FOKUS77c324.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6712055%66 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked FOKUS33c318.13$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9522838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS52c314.06$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.342,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Astralis51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15355941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Astralis49c291.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0719748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Astralis48c279$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9249941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed FOKUS47c257.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.595133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS53c254.46$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.122,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Astralis64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16016542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Astralis11c228.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Astralis35c220$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.731,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2176…b83dbacked Astralis57c218.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.632646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Astralis46c203.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9439258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed FOKUS62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769340.9%38 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis35c199.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.74,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…52f4backed FOKUS52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis20c192$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.453,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed FOKUS53c190.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.263066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed FOKUS52c185$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.821247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59cb…57d1backed Astralis50c179.74$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.745048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Astralis46c174.02$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.917642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Astralis63c165.48$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2522567.1%151 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7e…f207backed Astralis64c160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.43339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis62c145.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.122,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Astralis33c144.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4853034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed FOKUS35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8636749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Astralis78c129.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.641963.2%12 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick78cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Astralis40c124.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2460838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Astralis24c117$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.331,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed FOKUS33c102.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6952150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Astralis67c102.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6935147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3250…7beabacked Astralis10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked FOKUS34c97.06$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0628037.9%106 W · 174 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Astralis63c96.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5441853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis62c93.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.922,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed FOKUS53c92.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.391,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked FOKUS54c91.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9233459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked FOKUS75c90$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.336645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9d…de16backed Astralis64c84.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9914060%84 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Astralis61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed Astralis76c79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Astralis38c78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.649742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Astralis63c77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5151446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Astralis51c76.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2442154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Astralis66c73.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6122053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Astralis48c72.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.057963.3%50 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed FOKUS48c62.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3777146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Astralis56c61.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.452,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed FOKUS72c57.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9717163.7%109 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde30…3159backed FOKUS70c57.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1824260.3%146 W · 96 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Astralis49c53.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3449850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked FOKUS77c49.72$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4415047.3%71 W · 79 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa5…a94abacked FOKUS52c49.51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.772544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a9c…bfe2backed FOKUS41c48.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.583262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Astralis23c47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.682,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Astralis63c46.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0424152.3%126 W · 115 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.