CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5384c649f00be2997599052a41b967b30cf726491283e05a0178d522547c1e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof Astralis, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…fb57backed Astralis | 80c | 54,246$43,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,985.86 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FOKUS | 21c | 28,984$6,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,058.27 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 20c | 7,585$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.03 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked FOKUS | 16c | 7,585$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.72 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FOKUS | 18c | 5,106$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.09 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Astralis | 66c | 3,798$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.86 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked FOKUS | 12c | 2,190$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked FOKUS | 28c | 2,120$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FOKUS | 29c | 2,013$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.85 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS | 30c | 1,772$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.6 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Astralis | 72c | 1,535$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.23 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FOKUS | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Astralis | 69c | 1,443$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.69 | 143 | 62.9%90 W · 53 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed FOKUS | 22c | 1,427$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed FOKUS | 15c | 1,415$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…5b3ebacked Astralis | 68c | 1,286$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed FOKUS | 12c | 1,275$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked FOKUS | 17c | 1,224$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.43 | 231 | 29%67 W · 164 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 24c | 1,135$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.03 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS | 18c | 1,091$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked FOKUS | 22c | 1,083$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS | 24c | 1,028$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed FOKUS | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 29c | 999.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.77 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS | 25c | 968.57$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 18c | 917.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Astralis | 71c | 850$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed FOKUS | 25c | 843.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Astralis | 72c | 839.51$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FOKUS | 23c | 694.02$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FOKUS | 13c | 690.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed FOKUS | 9c | 664$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked FOKUS | 19c | 642.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Astralis | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked FOKUS | 28c | 598.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.51 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 71c | 533.96$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cb…57d1backed Astralis | 69c | 518.87$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.53 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS | 15c | 507.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked FOKUS | 22c | 501.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked FOKUS | 11c | 500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS | 19c | 476.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 23c | 475.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Astralis | 65c | 445.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked FOKUS | 18c | 436.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 20c | 414$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked FOKUS | 32c | 413.89$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.46 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…b275backed FOKUS | 30c | 412.19$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked FOKUS | 25c | 387.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed FOKUS | 18c | 361.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Astralis | 70c | 355$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed Astralis | 71c | 348$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…b685backed FOKUS | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS | 22c | 324$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…41d9backed Astralis | 69c | 300.58$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed FOKUS | 35c | 290.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed FOKUS | 18c | 283.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…cfc5backed FOKUS | 25c | 281.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS | 13c | 261.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FOKUS | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Astralis | 71c | 249.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed FOKUS | 28c | 241.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked FOKUS | 7c | 214.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed FOKUS | 30c | 203.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked FOKUS | 9c | 203.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed FOKUS | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7442…38b7backed Astralis | 71c | 163.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FOKUS | 27c | 162.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed FOKUS | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Astralis | 72c | 157.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Astralis | 73c | 155$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed FOKUS | 33c | 152.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FOKUS | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…f207backed Astralis | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS | 20c | 135$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Astralis | 77c | 129.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked FOKUS | 28c | 122.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FOKUS | 35c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed FOKUS | 17c | 120.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed FOKUS | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7beabacked Astralis | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked FOKUS | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked FOKUS | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed FOKUS | 29c | 97.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Astralis | 74c | 97.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…f127backed FOKUS | 32c | 92.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed FOKUS | 22c | 88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 462 | 46.8%216 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked FOKUS | 30c | 80.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 661 | 62.6%414 W · 247 L | +29.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Astralis | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Astralis | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FOKUS | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed FOKUS | 15c | 77.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…a4f5backed FOKUS | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Astralis | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…fc6cbacked FOKUS | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Astralis | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked FOKUS | 22c | 68.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf202…9ea8backed Astralis | 73c | 63.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FOKUS | 28c | 54.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked FOKUS | 40c | 50.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group BAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.