CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7453f4d9483827ef253686897e31350ec8951692874fb725cc39e47789d9685
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $383,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Astralis | 19c | 52,756$10,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,023.68 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Astralis | 16c | 21,152$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.65 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 12c | 16,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…f787backed Astralis | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Astralis | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 10,310$8,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.16 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Astralis | 20c | 10,052$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.48 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Astralis | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Astralis | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis | 20c | 9,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Astralis | 20c | 8,212$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.31 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Team Falcons | 80c | 6,650$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Astralis | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 5,050$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Astralis | 6c | 4,930$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.41 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Astralis | 20c | 4,906$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.65 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 14c | 4,685$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.22 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons | 79c | 4,254$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.35 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Astralis | 20c | 4,100$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 789 | 39.5%312 W · 477 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Astralis | 21c | 3,877$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.47 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 3,765$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed Astralis | 7c | 3,752$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.58 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b8…ef79backed Astralis | 6c | 3,436$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Astralis | 19c | 2,702$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.35 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…4845backed Team Falcons | 80c | 2,529$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Astralis | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…43f9backed Team Falcons | 80c | 2,400$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…c111backed Team Falcons | 80c | 2,299$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.75 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Astralis | 9c | 2,000$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Astralis | 20c | 1,900$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 1,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 16c | 1,765$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Astralis | 21c | 1,731$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.43 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 19c | 1,701$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.17 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,692$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.34 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…495fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 1,488$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.48 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Astralis | 19c | 1,483$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Astralis | 14c | 1,457$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked Astralis | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…745bbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 1,281$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 80c | 1,230$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Astralis | 19c | 1,200$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…711dbacked Astralis | 9c | 1,189$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Team Falcons | 80c | 1,188$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Astralis | 17c | 1,179$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…8903backed Team Falcons | 80c | 1,108$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cd…e95dbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,082$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,007$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Astralis | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Astralis | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Astralis | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 378 | 45.5%172 W · 206 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 80c | 976.9$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 264 | 61%161 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Astralis | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Falcons | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Astralis | 8c | 850$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…434ebacked Team Falcons | 79c | 832.96$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Falcons | 80c | 826.35$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Astralis | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Astralis | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 402 | 48.8%196 W · 206 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbc…e9d7backed Astralis | 14c | 788.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 767.99$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 279 | 54.1%151 W · 128 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Astralis | 20c | 764$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Astralis | 21c | 759.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…a700backed Team Falcons | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Astralis | 3c | 729.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Astralis | 21c | 690.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e299backed Team Falcons | 80c | 648.4$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…619cbacked Astralis | 7c | 639$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Team Falcons | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…6cebbacked Astralis | 7c | 614.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece1…2b04backed Astralis | 21c | 580.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Astralis | 20c | 558.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…91febacked Team Falcons | 80c | 554.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 547.94$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 15c | 517$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astralis | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0035…f536backed Astralis | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 493.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Astralis | 21c | 492$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Astralis | 20c | 480$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Team Falcons | 80c | 474.66$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Astralis | 20c | 448.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Falcons | 79c | 443.99$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Astralis | 5c | 417.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Astralis | 18c | 400$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b04…f8e5backed Team Falcons | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Astralis | 20c | 378.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.15 | 448 | 52.5%235 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Astralis | 21c | 368.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Astralis | 15c | 360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 384 | 21.9%84 W · 300 L | -44.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Team Falcons | 79c | 340.05$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Astralis | 14c | 326.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Astralis | 10c | 324.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 218 | 22%48 W · 170 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed Astralis | 19c | 315$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.