TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b97…91fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4953.1%26 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$106.25
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$123.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.71
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.86
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$111
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$329.39
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.91
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$47.91
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.74
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$21.61
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$35.54
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$37.95
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.74
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$76.16
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.67
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$123.43
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.96
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.68
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.49
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$27.11
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$16.89
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.28
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$90.41
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.84
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.55
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.46
All 22 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.32per pick60cpaid+72.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66.69
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$227.17
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$102.51
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.69
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$334.12
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$279.15
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+41.6%+$72.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100.5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$31.44
US forces enter Iran by March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25%+$33.92
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$87.05
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+95.1%+$603.81
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+261.8%+$682.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.