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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$427,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$537,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,058 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd30…f316backed paiN38c52,324$19,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,883.0713450.7%68 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz62c29,434$18,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,186.3838358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed paiN42c27,919$11,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,788.091,46139.3%574 W · 887 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed TheMongolz62c25,044$15,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,454.1310749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked paiN37c10,262$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,796.8333552.5%176 W · 159 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed TheMongolz59c10,170$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.667041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc6…315dbacked TheMongolz52c9,568$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,568.441546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked paiN46c8,698$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00025239.7%100 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked TheMongolz61c6,608$4,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,577.1529446.9%138 W · 156 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked paiN39c5,638$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19932848.8%160 W · 168 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed TheMongolz61c4,816$2,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.247263.6%300 W · 172 L+51.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed TheMongolz62c3,808$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.1515251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz58c3,550$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.641,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed paiN39c3,508$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3686752.2%35 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed TheMongolz60c3,087$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.130153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked TheMongolz60c3,000$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.841,06949.3%527 W · 542 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed TheMongolz57c2,964$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.7490347.2%426 W · 477 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed paiN39c2,896$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.312,69130.7%826 W · 1,865 L-110.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked TheMongolz61c2,888$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.433652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed TheMongolz65c2,812$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.5819468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed TheMongolz62c2,700$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.9926048.8%127 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN41c2,667$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.4762534.9%218 W · 407 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN44c2,426$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.191,27347.1%600 W · 673 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed paiN39c2,280$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.27659.2%45 W · 31 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed paiN39c2,259$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.015160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad16…6de3backed paiN4c1,900$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8190%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed paiN39c1,849$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.1123653.8%127 W · 109 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed paiN1c1,849$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.182,48424.7%613 W · 1,871 L-318.7wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7d9d…3c52backed TheMongolz59c1,812$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.921163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked TheMongolz61c1,806$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3417750.8%90 W · 87 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed TheMongolz70c1,614$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.332,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked paiN33c1,606$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.321,67332.7%547 W · 1,126 L-48.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked TheMongolz64c1,533$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.6241554.2%225 W · 190 L+26.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed TheMongolz54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.999043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed TheMongolz56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.6118960.3%114 W · 75 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed TheMongolz62c1,350$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5133060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed TheMongolz56c1,337$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.259950.5%50 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed TheMongolz53c1,329$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.8416550.9%84 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe480…ee6cbacked paiN39c1,313$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.074751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN42c1,200$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.632,47244.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L-68.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed TheMongolz72c1,200$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3369850%49 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked TheMongolz58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50475945.3%344 W · 415 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed TheMongolz64c1,135$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.0528961.2%177 W · 112 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x377b…0446backed paiN38c1,134$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.921250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed paiN37c1,118$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.6614046.4%65 W · 75 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked paiN38c1,106$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6814846.6%69 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked paiN28c1,066$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018743.9%82 W · 105 L-10.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked paiN39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017546.9%82 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked paiN6c1,010$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5822931%71 W · 158 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed TheMongolz62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3809849%48 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed paiN7c989.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.356132.6%183 W · 378 L-26.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed paiN38c960$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.819737.1%73 W · 124 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed TheMongolz71c952.61$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.232,41245.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L-62.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed paiN38c934$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.925957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked paiN24c925.42$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2222940.6%93 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…8f65backed paiN37c850.35$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TheMongolz57c807.39$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.181,80259.3%1,069 W · 733 L+107.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed TheMongolz50c798.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.921637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked TheMongolz61c750$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.51,54951.3%795 W · 754 L-11.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked paiN33c748.77$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.373,62429.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L-291.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed TheMongolz61c735.52$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0588848.3%429 W · 459 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed TheMongolz63c721.77$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.355752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed TheMongolz57c640.47$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7512941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed TheMongolz61c590.16$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.163953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c9f…4d8dbacked paiN39c542.15$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4450%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked TheMongolz62c525$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.526350.6%133 W · 130 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TheMongolz59c522$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.021,74047%817 W · 923 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7876…a162backed TheMongolz70c500$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.291442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed TheMongolz62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19040157.4%230 W · 171 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3230…f430backed paiN20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0bd…3338backed TheMongolz48c479.45$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.422740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked TheMongolz62c476.43$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4387344.3%387 W · 486 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed TheMongolz59c466.66$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.535731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x789a…3dfabacked TheMongolz59c465.25$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.752958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed paiN39c450$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x891a…7cc8backed TheMongolz62c438.75$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1668263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c2…421bbacked TheMongolz58c431.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.287057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x609d…3fa9backed paiN52c411.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21410663.2%67 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed TheMongolz50c400.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.057072.9%51 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed paiN37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14854345.1%245 W · 298 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed TheMongolz64c400$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7544875.7%339 W · 109 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed TheMongolz67c392.8$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.629033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked TheMongolz64c392.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.134746.8%22 W · 25 L-7.7wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-24.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2fcb…4289backed TheMongolz54c371.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6516749.7%83 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed paiN30c358.2$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.128324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked TheMongolz63c341$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.253,31945.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L-87.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5290…6b17backed TheMongolz80c330.05$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.211668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked TheMongolz62c321.43$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.052,23743.2%966 W · 1,271 L-70.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed paiN38c319.52$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4243051.6%222 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa817…1c3bbacked TheMongolz63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4610447.1%49 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed paiN38c303.42$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.37735.1%27 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN37c301.33$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.491,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3835…bcacbacked TheMongolz63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed paiN29c293.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8561142.7%261 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed TheMongolz61c278$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.427545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7fd…3193backed TheMongolz58c273.84$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.012236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked TheMongolz59c272.73$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5358954.2%319 W · 270 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7c…8b29backed TheMongolz62c250.42$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.682236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked paiN32c209.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9517443.1%75 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed TheMongolz55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9018847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.