CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0de09217ea15d033ec6eb2dbfb17ddbccec9c8e7ade7e89f710d6cafc15cecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 36c | 4,531$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.99 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 1,795$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.28 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 54c | 784.26$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 575.69$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.35 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 63c | 455.97$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked Under | 64c | 418.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 64c | 93.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 64c | 78.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 64c | 55.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Over | 48c | 51.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 64c | 41.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 50c | 28.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 47c | 23.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.