Fifa International · resolved market
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4abd4c4f6336b33cdaf7aa65430ef1f4afe7122d1678b1f3d022b4357cdbf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,709,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,377,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,709,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 20c | 485,118$97,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,061.11 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 330,348$258,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,199.68 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 232,666$169,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,142.69 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 178,719$61,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,821.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 80c | 158,809$127,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,761.77 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 53c | 152,690$81,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,149.26 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 80c | 151,882$121,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,376.44 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 79c | 142,764$113,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,535.32 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 20c | 113,290$22,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,657.94 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…89b1backed Yes | 20c | 100,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.98 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 86,003$44,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,717.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 82,023$20,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,229.29 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 20c | 70,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Yes | 76c | 66,008$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 55c | 65,911$36,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,347.16 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 50c | 60,418$30,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,414.25 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 15c | 56,482$8,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,718.17 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed No | 56c | 53,054$29,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,516.58 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…6ee3backed Yes | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 45,909$9,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,083.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed No | 80c | 45,728$36,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,145.67 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 31c | 44,532$13,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,811.99 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 42,815$31,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,928.53 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 24c | 42,118$10,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,052.72 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 65c | 39,709$25,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,803.97 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed No | 80c | 38,080$30,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,668.99 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 30c | 35,072$10,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,441.65 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 20c | 35,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 67c | 29,592$19,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,903.63 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 35c | 27,045$9,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,498.35 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 80c | 26,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 80c | 25,553$20,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110.6 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…e539backed Yes | 47c | 21,503$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Yes | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 27c | 19,660$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.46 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 80c | 19,082$15,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.14 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 24c | 17,859$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,257.67 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 25c | 16,396$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.92 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Yes | 19c | 15,789$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 1c | 15,500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Yes | 52c | 15,385$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…f741backed Yes | 29c | 15,302$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392.09 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 15,255$12,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.27 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 15,199$12,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.89 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 20c | 15,064$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.87 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 19c | 15,003$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.58 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed Yes | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 67c | 15,000$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.42 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 2c | 14,859$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.54 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked No | 60c | 14,791$8,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.61 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 24c | 14,674$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.23 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…9c9dbacked Yes | 52c | 14,411$7,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,492.12 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 31c | 14,259$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.98 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…b0febacked Yes | 30c | 14,137$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 43c | 13,693$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.31 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 55c | 13,174$7,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,215.71 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 80c | 12,783$10,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556.6 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked No | 80c | 12,480$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8f…8df8backed No | 77c | 12,419$9,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.64 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…b06abacked Yes | 25c | 11,914$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 25c | 11,620$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.75 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 7c | 10,170$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.58 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 80c | 10,107$8,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.32 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4718…e2e8backed Yes | 55c | 10,100$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…2aa1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x119b…ac3ebacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4da5backed Yes | 56c | 9,984$5,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,551.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 9,605$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.23 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Yes | 61c | 8,069$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 14c | 7,934$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.36 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 80c | 7,188$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.53 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 16c | 7,095$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.93 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9aabbacked Yes | 28c | 6,927$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9806…0367backed Yes | 15c | 6,919$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…362bbacked Yes | 29c | 6,609$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…e646backed No | 80c | 6,601$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…bf03backed Yes | 20c | 6,600$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…bba5backed Yes | 7c | 6,539$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.1 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Yes | 25c | 6,524$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.57 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x055d…245dbacked Yes | 31c | 6,496$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…07abbacked Yes | 28c | 6,393$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 21c | 6,146$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.66 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0089…e95abacked Yes | 21c | 6,020$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…cf03backed Yes | 21c | 5,714$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 77c | 5,673$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.48 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…1b35backed Yes | 27c | 5,556$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 21c | 5,552$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.91 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 2c | 5,537$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…50f5backed Yes | 20c | 5,487$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.3 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…7d40backed Yes | 62c | 5,315$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed No | 80c | 5,200$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 79c | 5,200$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.98 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?this page
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?No won
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.