CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4b2d73c77d82c395a25e1d40351d41236d28a5611104fafaa2665be8e80b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $311,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Astralis | 28c | 30,884$8,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,634.83 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Astralis | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 71c | 6,736$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.57 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…1a34backed Astralis | 16c | 5,979$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 4,865$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.59 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Astralis | 29c | 4,803$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.01 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 4,414$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.07 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Astralis | 27c | 4,233$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Astralis | 29c | 3,752$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.08 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 3,630$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.07 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Astralis | 20c | 3,264$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.25 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons | 69c | 3,000$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.83 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Astralis | 30c | 3,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Astralis | 23c | 2,898$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.36 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Team Falcons | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 76c | 2,484$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.16 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Astralis | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Falcons | 69c | 1,883$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.9 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons | 71c | 1,803$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.69 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 29c | 1,545$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.4 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,500$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.28 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Team Falcons | 68c | 1,495$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.36 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Astralis | 30c | 1,260$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.97 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 14c | 1,254$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 71c | 1,170$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,128$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Astralis | 15c | 1,097$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Astralis | 20c | 999.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Astralis | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Astralis | 30c | 997$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Astralis | 31c | 969$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.42 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 79c | 945.98$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 945.55$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Team Falcons | 69c | 929.13$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Astralis | 15c | 895.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed Astralis | 35c | 875$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.05 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Team Falcons | 72c | 832$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Astralis | 35c | 823.65$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Team Falcons | 69c | 776$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed Astralis | 16c | 740$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 727.35$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Astralis | 31c | 722.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Team Falcons | 71c | 702.07$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Astralis | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Team Falcons | 70c | 700$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…5c9cbacked Astralis | 42c | 698.08$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Team Falcons | 71c | 686.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Astralis | 30c | 635$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 67c | 581.82$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed Astralis | 33c | 581.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Astralis | 34c | 571.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.18 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Astralis | 23c | 556$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Astralis | 29c | 503.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…7552backed Astralis | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astralis | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed Team Falcons | 79c | 465.4$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Astralis | 5c | 457.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Astralis | 12c | 442$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 422.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Astralis | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Astralis | 32c | 394.15$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…54a3backed Team Falcons | 69c | 380.65$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…3506backed Astralis | 36c | 380.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…cecdbacked Astralis | 27c | 377.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Astralis | 21c | 368.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…4289backed Astralis | 16c | 367.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 150 | 52%78 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Falcons | 72c | 360$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…bcb6backed Team Falcons | 70c | 360$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…ff10backed Astralis | 31c | 350$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Falcons | 78c | 321.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Astralis | 5c | 316.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Astralis | 36c | 311.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 310.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…3f0abacked Team Falcons | 80c | 305.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Astralis | 32c | 303.81$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed Team Falcons | 69c | 290.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Astralis | 31c | 289.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Astralis | 18c | 274.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…4af9backed Astralis | 20c | 270.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…f430backed Astralis | 39c | 256.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Astralis | 22c | 245.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Team Falcons | 69c | 240.84$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Astralis | 39c | 239.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Astralis | 5c | 236.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Astralis | 30c | 226.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Falcons | 68c | 224.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Team Falcons | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Astralis | 41c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Falcons | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…412ebacked Astralis | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 31c | 191.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Team Falcons | 61c | 188$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Astralis | 25c | 182.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Astralis | 26c | 181.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons | 75c | 179.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Team Falcons | 76c | 175.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Astralis | 20c | 171.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Team Falcons | 72c | 162.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.