CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x956f83eff69a4ef15ca81d3feb93e63378fe38a1ee6da88332b2d18ef64e2862

Rebuilt 26 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,540
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,540 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Over	42c	11,886$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over	44c	10,000$4,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,355.05	500	54.4%272 W · 228 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	57c	7,375$4,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,141.25	619	48%297 W · 322 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under	56c	6,647$3,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,921.58	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over	41c	6,000$2,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,452.49	190	55.8%106 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under	59c	4,051$2,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,670.03	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under	60c	3,378$2,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.92	249	43.8%109 W · 140 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	36c	2,276$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.02	288	43.1%124 W · 164 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under	60c	1,993$1,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800.02	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under	63c	1,796$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.47	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Under	59c	1,388$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.08	95	65.3%62 W · 33 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Under	59c	1,169$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.49	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over	39c	1,131$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.12	388	41.8%162 W · 226 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332b…af19backed Under	58c	699.75$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.52	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under	58c	689.65$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.65	323	44.3%143 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Under	59c	663$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.83	207	43%89 W · 118 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	395	48.6%192 W · 203 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	42c	467$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.14	239	49%117 W · 122 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over	41c	392.68$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	302	36.8%111 W · 191 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over	13c	370.45$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.84	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	59c	335.61$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.1	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Under	60c	261.19$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.09	80	61.3%49 W · 31 L	+7.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	56c	256$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.64	277	53.8%149 W · 128 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under	59c	254.2$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.22	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-7.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	39c	200$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.61	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e03…27bfbacked Under	59c	155.12$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.6	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under	58c	154.62$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.94	169	45%76 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Under	67c	149$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.12	156	46.8%73 W · 83 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	67c	138.31$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.53	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under	59c	135.17$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.87	324	58%188 W · 136 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4038…35e4backed Under	67c	128.11$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.28	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Over	33c	128.11$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.28	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under	75c	124.99$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.76	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Over	41c	121.93$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under	59c	120$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.2	393	38.2%150 W · 243 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over	42c	119.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.87	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Under	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Under	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…d4f1backed Under	59c	84.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.75	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	60c	79.9$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.68	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over	41c	76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+11.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over	16c	74.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	686	59.5%408 W · 278 L	+65.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9b51…9ea6backed Under	64c	72.92$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.25	190	53.2%101 W · 89 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Under	57c	69.44$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.86	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Under	60c	68.25$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.3	379	22.2%84 W · 295 L	-43.1wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6609…4e73backed Under	68c	67.65$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.65	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…89a3backed Over	40c	66$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over	29c	64.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	119	44.5%53 W · 66 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed Over	42c	62.79$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-20%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Under	60c	62.04$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.92	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ef…f1dcbacked Over	33c	61.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over	41c	60.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	500	50.6%253 W · 247 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under	59c	56.52$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	122	59%72 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed Over	22c	54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+7.2wins	+0.25per pick	51cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over	42c	52.38$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	164	45.7%75 W · 89 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Under	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	224	55.8%125 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa108…573ebacked Over	41c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25c7…4338backed Over	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	39c	48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	495	36.4%180 W · 315 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	61c	48$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	106	26.4%28 W · 78 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x497e…a18abacked Over	42c	47.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	58%40 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under	78c	44.67$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.83	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	41c	41.76$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	694	45%312 W · 382 L	-24.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c0…70babacked Under	62c	38.15$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a94…1937backed Under	61c	37$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.43	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	43c	35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	351	41.6%146 W · 205 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed Under	60c	34$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked Under	74c	34$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Over	39c	32.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under	59c	32.07$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.15	154	69.5%107 W · 47 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	58c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8113…720ebacked Under	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Under	59c	26.44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.84	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	66cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Under	59c	25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.25	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Under	61c	23.08$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.05	116	56%65 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under	59c	21.62$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.86	111	55%61 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	59c	20.48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Under	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Falcons won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Team Falcons won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Team Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event