CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff968777d2f8de5bb6d61385b56ae770fe18546b87a4fc22a24932a615608df3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 50c | 34,336$17,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,054.84 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d36…f787backed Astralis | 50c | 30,000$14,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,925.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astralis | 48c | 24,500$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,879.93 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Team Falcons | 51c | 23,421$12,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,376.39 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Astralis | 50c | 10,007$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.67 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Astralis | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed Team Falcons | 50c | 9,314$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,656.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Astralis | 49c | 9,037$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Astralis | 49c | 8,080$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.12 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Astralis | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.97 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 7,688$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.64 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Astralis | 50c | 7,282$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.03 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Astralis | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.92 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 50c | 5,300$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Astralis | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,937$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 3,797$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.63 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Team Falcons | 51c | 3,371$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.72 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 3,255$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Team Falcons | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Team Falcons | 52c | 2,856$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.54 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 47c | 2,680$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.6 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Astralis | 50c | 2,079$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.31 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…58debacked Team Falcons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 1,999$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.95 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Team Falcons | 76c | 1,933$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.75 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Astralis | 50c | 1,750$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,631$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.66 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Astralis | 23c | 1,501$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.09 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Falcons | 52c | 1,282$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.47 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,174$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 1,170$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Astralis | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,052$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.34 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astralis | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 607 | 48.1%292 W · 315 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Astralis | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Team Falcons | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Falcons | 51c | 960.78$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.78 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Team Falcons | 50c | 943$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Astralis | 48c | 928.96$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.9 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 840$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…644ebacked Astralis | 50c | 790.79$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Falcons | 50c | 780.48$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.24 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons | 49c | 780.1$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…55d6backed Astralis | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team Falcons | 51c | 750$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Falcons | 51c | 745$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.05 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Team Falcons | 51c | 654.9$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.9 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Astralis | 50c | 651.54$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.77 | 645 | 54.4%351 W · 294 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Team Falcons | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 51c | 575$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Team Falcons | 49c | 572.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.31 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Astralis | 50c | 568.61$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.31 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…83bfbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 540$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 529.62$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…a90fbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 512.55$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 512$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons | 53c | 500$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…326cbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Team Falcons | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Astralis | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…2b72backed Team Falcons | 51c | 380.78$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 359.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…f4f3backed Team Falcons | 51c | 342.28$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b5…50b0backed Team Falcons | 51c | 329.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Falcons | 51c | 314.9$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed28…87cebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 303.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Astralis | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Astralis | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 684 | 53.8%368 W · 316 L | -22.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Team Falcons | 50c | 298$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 50c | 274.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…1222backed Team Falcons | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Astralis | 46c | 267.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 227.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 352 | 49.7%175 W · 177 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 543 | 43.5%236 W · 307 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 207.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Astralis | 32c | 207.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Astralis | 50c | 201.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Astralis | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 55.3%218 W · 176 L | +17.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Astralis | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Team Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…7682backed Team Falcons | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Team Falcons | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…33c6backed Astralis | 50c | 193.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 192.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Team Falcons | 53c | 186.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 185.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Team Falcons won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)Astralis won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.