CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad4cd62b92a2bb37a61c6c77edcdae3587733db435ab6aebcfd3990bef1daba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof HOTU, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $291,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Astralis | 13c | 15,583$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.2 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Astralis | 70c | 14,185$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HOTU | 60c | 12,917$7,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,173.57 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Astralis | 0c | 10,110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dd8abacked HOTU | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Astralis | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Astralis | 40c | 9,641$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.24 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Astralis | 65c | 8,891$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778.94 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed HOTU | 29c | 8,026$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.86 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HOTU | 64c | 7,358$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.6 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked HOTU | 32c | 7,319$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950.55 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Astralis | 68c | 6,000$4,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050.64 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU | 65c | 5,884$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.17 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Astralis | 57c | 5,602$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.63 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked Astralis | 47c | 5,533$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Astralis | 65c | 5,500$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed HOTU | 76c | 5,288$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.12 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd305…fdfebacked HOTU | 63c | 3,494$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Astralis | 49c | 3,165$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.24 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Astralis | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU | 69c | 2,961$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.07 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed HOTU | 75c | 2,671$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.43 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HOTU | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HOTU | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed HOTU | 34c | 1,971$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.15 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Astralis | 58c | 1,805$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.78 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU | 54c | 1,624$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.43 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Astralis | 32c | 1,596$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.67 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed HOTU | 69c | 1,594$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.47 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked HOTU | 30c | 1,479$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.33 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Astralis | 64c | 1,366$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.18 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU | 50c | 1,346$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed HOTU | 75c | 1,337$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.48 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Astralis | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked HOTU | 34c | 1,208$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.9 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Astralis | 54c | 1,166$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.49 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Astralis | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Astralis | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked HOTU | 50c | 1,079$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.98 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…795fbacked Astralis | 44c | 1,076$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked HOTU | 36c | 1,031$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.88 | 522 | 36.8%192 W · 330 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked HOTU | 62c | 1,027$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.47 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Astralis | 29c | 1,026$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked HOTU | 55c | 1,015$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.74 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked HOTU | 64c | 1,010$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.92 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked Astralis | 20c | 988.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked HOTU | 60c | 978.33$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.33 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed HOTU | 45c | 970.53$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.79 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed HOTU | 55c | 967.35$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.31 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 40c | 947.56$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.98 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Astralis | 38c | 917.68$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Astralis | 68c | 899.99$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.99 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HOTU | 39c | 883.57$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.09 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed HOTU | 63c | 850.09$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.09 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HOTU | 66c | 823.58$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked HOTU | 35c | 804.1$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.66 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed HOTU | 60c | 776.67$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 202 | 53%107 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…b83dbacked Astralis | 45c | 775.8$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Astralis | 45c | 754.43$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.95 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed HOTU | 34c | 711.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.32 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Astralis | 65c | 709.4$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.51 | 485 | 48.7%236 W · 249 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 64c | 698.73$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.44 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…417abacked HOTU | 57c | 667.28$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.93 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 74c | 652.12$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 61c | 624.41$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.58 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed HOTU | 35c | 594.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.62 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed HOTU | 33c | 575.49$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.52 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed HOTU | 56c | 570$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Astralis | 44c | 567$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked HOTU | 68c | 550$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 34c | 529.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed HOTU | 38c | 512.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 482 | 51.7%249 W · 233 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HOTU | 35c | 509.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked HOTU | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HOTU | 36c | 481.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…f703backed HOTU | 65c | 477.64$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked Astralis | 61c | 476.02$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…e97cbacked HOTU | 76c | 446.74$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked HOTU | 44c | 434.36$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HOTU | 32c | 427.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Astralis | 25c | 388$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed HOTU | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Astralis | 35c | 383.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Astralis | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…d2f4backed HOTU | 69c | 362.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Astralis | 45c | 358.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Astralis | 52c | 350.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed HOTU | 56c | 349.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Astralis | 20c | 349$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed HOTU | 44c | 339.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Astralis | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Astralis | 30c | 306.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked HOTU | 32c | 305.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU | 46c | 304.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.93 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed HOTU | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HOTU | 65c | 296.37$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed HOTU | 29c | 286.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed HOTU | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 46c | 285$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.